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What should the FO do if we are 0.500 by January?

If you were put in charge of the FO, what would you do if the Jazz were 0.500 on January 1st


  • Total voters
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I think maybe a better way to put this is that I don’t believe we have much, if any, control over what happens. If we decide we’re going to win, I don’t believe us deciding that and making moves to do it will have a strong correlation with winning. If we’re going to win, we’re going to win. Likewise, if we choose to tank, I don’t believe us trying to tank will actually add that much to tanking — if we’re going to lose, we’ll lose. There will be a marginal amount more we could win by if we wanted to, and a marginal amount more we could lose by if we wanted to lose, but the bottom line is that we’ll just have to let it play out. We’re headed downhill on a sled that we can’t control. We could have a thrilling ride or we could get swallowed by the avalanche. We can’t steer it and we shouldn’t pretend that we’ll influence the outcome. The decisions that could affect the outcome were made long ago. Hopefully luck can smile upon us, whatever that may ultimately mean.
Gotta disagree with this. If we choose to tank and trade nurk, lauri and kessler then I think that has large effect on losing rather than marginal.
Also if we decide to trade picks/young prospects etc for guys like Jrue holiday types (good veteran proven players) then it has a large effect on winning rather than marginal.
 
A season where the Jazz ultimately win 34 games and lose a much-needed draft pick would be a complete waste. This team has a few pieces that will work at a high level, but nothing more. Once the team is really put together with a high ceiling, then they can have a season with a win-total in the 30s as part of their ascent.
This. Winning 30 games or so would be the worst case scenario ever.
 
If we manage to get a loss on Friday I think we are kind of where I expected... just got there in a different way. The schedule is going to get harder for sure. I think our choices will be more of... win 30 games playing it pretty straight. Managing a few legit injuries conservatively and having guys like Svi and Nurk play less for young experimental lineups... and win 25 games.

But some of the injury luck (like getting minny twice without Ant) may produce some wins we didn't expect.
 
The reality is we are 3rd or 4th worst IN THE WEST as things stand. Adding in the East that is another 5 teams worst than us.

So regardless of the .500 hypothetical we are teetering on the edge of 8th place- before possible jumps by other lottery teams.

If we were in the East I’d say go for it since we would have a fairly easy path to at a play-in at the least. Being in the West complicates things, since climbing the ladder to a play in team is much more fraught no matter how all in we go for it.

In the end I think you just play it straight and hope the lottery saves our behinds and if its allowed pick up a late 1st pick to swap with the wolves if they go south, since Lauri is the kind of player right now that you’d be hoping to draft and I don’t want to lose both him AND Kessler for the hope of a straight younger substitution.
 
The question with this team is whether they are bad enough to secure a top-8 pick. Right now, the Jazz look like they’re headed for the worst-case scenario of coughing up the ~10th pick.

I don’t know how much people have analyzed the situation, but being .500 against bad or asleep teams does not seem like a team worth chucking the build in the garbage can for (right when we might otherwise get most of the paydirt of rebuilding).

Answering the question, bail the **** out if they can get decent packages for Walker and/or Lauri.
 
All you can do is try and cut the fat. If it's a player who is not here for the long haul and not a prospect, trade/bench them. This way, if you do lose out on your picks it's at least at the hand of your future roster. Guys like Nurk and Svi are providing so much value compared to a tank commander. Don't think Hard Willy will want to do that though.
 
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