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Following Potential 2026 Draftees

Ryan Dunn shooting 33% on 6 attempts per 100possessions as a complete non shooter in college is one data point. CMB starting the year off at 50% 3pt shooting is another data point. On the other hand Locke seems to have some data that shows that guys don't improve that much, but I'm kind of ignoring him for now when there are so many obvious examples of guys learning to shoot in the league.

So one interesting thing that I heard the Toronto broadcasters say is that it's easier to take a non shooter and teach him how to shoot 3's then a bad shooter. I guess the idea is that with a non shooter you are starting from scratch vs a bad shooter you are trying to correct stuff that's deeply habitual at that point. I'm not sure how much I buy that, but it's interesting to think about.
Locke sometimes has his things that he never really updates or deviates from. The shooting as a whole seems like it is so much better in the league... but maybe that is just teams playing guys that can shoot. IDK. I would not hesitate to draft a guy like Wilson if the current FT percentage holds up... feel like as a spot up guy you could get him to the high 30s and the rest of the stuff is really tantalizing.
 
Locke sometimes has his things that he never really updates or deviates from. The shooting as a whole seems like it is so much better in the league... but maybe that is just teams playing guys that can shoot. IDK. I would not hesitate to draft a guy like Wilson if the current FT percentage holds up... feel like as a spot up guy you could get him to the high 30s and the rest of the stuff is really tantalizing.
Thinking about the Jazz, Wilson might be the kind of defender that makes a Lauri/Keyonte starting lineup possible.
 
I haven't done the research myself, but I don't really see a reason to believe why we can suddenly develop shooting better (at the NBA level) than before. I think it's much more likely the case that the guys who can shoot get to play more and also that prospects coming in are better at shooting.

Either way, good shooting is still a much better sign than bad shooting. I don't think Wilson's shooting is bad, but it is still a fair question mark. I'd say that shooting is still a question mark for he and AJ until they show improvement. He's looking like an A+ prospect outside of shooting so far though. Looks like a smaller, but more athletic Evan Mobley.
 
I haven't done the research myself, but I don't really see a reason to believe why we can suddenly develop shooting better (at the NBA level) than before. I think it's much more likely the case that the guys who can shoot get to play more and also that prospects coming in are better at shooting.

Either way, good shooting is still a much better sign than bad shooting. I don't think Wilson's shooting is bad, but it is still a fair question mark. I'd say that shooting is still a question mark for he and AJ until they show improvement. He's looking like an A+ prospect outside of shooting so far though. Looks like a smaller, but more athletic Evan Mobley.

I don't know. I think that shooting is so important that guys who would have never tried to develop a shot are doing so now. I can also imagine that there are better methods for teaching players shooting that have improved over the years.
 
I don't know. I think that shooting is so important that guys who would have never tried to develop a shot are doing so now. I can also imagine that there are better methods for teaching players shooting that have improved over the years.

You could honestly take this the other way and say that because the incoming players have all been taught/encouraged to shoot, it is way less likely that they can't shoot because they haven't had good training. For example, a guy like Brook Lopez likely could have always been able to shoot....but he was only encouraged to do so later his career. But if he was born 15 years later he would have been shooting 3's his whole life. So there may have been an initial bump in guys who just started trying it out once they were in the league like Brook, but I don't know if that's relevant to current prospect who are much more likely to have already tried to shoot 3's. There are still some cases of guys who weren't told/taught to shoot, but that number has to be lower than it was before.

It's all relative as well. The shooting standard keeps getting higher and higher and I think most would also say that the importance of shooting is greater. All of this is just to say, I don't see a reason to feel more optimistic about bad shooters. I don't want this to come off as me saying we shouldn't draft bad shooters or that they can't improve. I just don't see the evidence or rationale to see why they can/are improving more now.
 
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You could honestly take this the other way and say that because the incoming players have all been taught/encouraged to shoot, it is way less likely that they can't shoot because they haven't had good training. For example, a guy like Brook Lopez likely could have always been able to shoot....but he was only encouraged to do so later his career. But if he was born 15 years later he would have been shooting 3's his whole life. So there may have been an initial bump in guys who just started trying it out once they were in the league like Brook, but I don't know if that's relevant to current prospect who are much more likely to have already tried to shoot 3's. There are still some cases of guys who weren't told/taught to shoot, but that number has to be lower than it was before.

It's all relative as well. The shooting standard keeps getting higher and higher and I think most would also say that the importance of shooting is greater. All of this is just to say, I don't see a reason to feel more optimistic about bad shooters. I don't want this to come off as me saying we shouldn't draft bad shooters or that they can't improve. I just don't see the evidence or rationale to see why they can/are improving now.
Good points. My evidence at this point is all anecdotal. It feels like there are a bunch of guys who improve their shooting in the NBA, but i get that isn't very convincing.
 
Yeah, I would have to be sure Brown is better than Keyonte, and I'm not there yet whereas Wilson looks like the missing piece.

Key is making a big case for himself as someone to build with, but I’d also say that at my biggest concern going forward is overall defense. I trust Hardy to be able to scheme his way into an elite offense even without elite talent. We were pretty great even when we Conley, Beasley, KO etc.

I think we’ll rely more heavily on talent than coaching wizardry on the defensive end. We’ll need at least two all defense type guys to be a good defensive team.
 
Caleb Wilson looks like what we were looking for in Cody and Taylor, sadly, they're both busts.
 
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