2018-2019 Western Conference Predictions

Discussion in 'Utah Jazz' started by silesian, Oct 14, 2018.

  1. Alfalfa

    Alfalfa Well-Known Member

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    The Jazz have also been exceptionally healthy. You shouldn't count on injuries, because it mostly certainly can happen to us as well.
     

  2. SCS

    SCS Well-Known Member

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    We look like a 44, 45 win team at best right now. Even that feels like a stretch to me. Then again our record has led me to a lot of anger this season which has led me to pessimism.
     
  3. Handlogten's Heros

    Handlogten's Heros Well-Known Member

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    The 538 predictions include pre-season player rankings projections as a factor I believe. Using their pure ELO which incorporates strength of schedule, margin of victory etc. we have a 66% chance.

    It predicts us at 45 wins and Clips and Lakers at 45 and 44... one of those teams doesn't make it in... my guess is injuries are the determining factor.
     
  4. Handlogten's Heros

    Handlogten's Heros Well-Known Member

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    Yup... we are a Rudy, DM, or Ingles injury away from being lotto... other teams are similar. The schedule has been a huge factor in our struggles, but just because the schedule lets up people act like we gonna win 10 in a row like its automatic.
     
  5. Wes Mantooth

    Wes Mantooth Well-Known Member

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    I can’t get my hopes that high.

    We’ll be the 5th seed. Feels like we are every meaningful playoff season. I’m convinced of it.
     
  6. Handlogten's Heros

    Handlogten's Heros Well-Known Member

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    Like the Detroit game saturday... I think we are penciling it as a win... we will be on the road off a back to back where they are on a few days rest... that's closer to 50/50 game. We have 6-7 games between now and trade deadline that are pretty safe to pencil in as wins... the 50/50 games will decide things. I think there is a 60% chance we make the playoffs, but the margin for error is going to be thinner this year.
     
  7. Wes Mantooth

    Wes Mantooth Well-Known Member

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    Rubio gonna go 45/40/90 this month.
     
  8. Ron Mexico

    Ron Mexico Well-Known Member Contributor

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    He is improving. Ill never trust his 3 point shot though, its so ugly and inconsistent. But this is about to be the 3rd season in a row with a drastic difference between the first half and second half on his shooting.

    Exum is shooting 52/35/83 this month BTW.
     
  9. Wes Mantooth

    Wes Mantooth Well-Known Member

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    Lol.
     
  10. fishonjazz

    fishonjazz Well-Known Member Contributor 2018 Award Winner

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    I'm always one of the most optimistic posters on jazz fanz but that number is too high

    Sent from my ONEPLUS A6013 using JazzFanz mobile app
     
  11. Wes Mantooth

    Wes Mantooth Well-Known Member

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    I’d say we’re 72%.

    We have a cakewalk schedule and I also trust us down the stretch more than I do say the Kings to win big games that have playoff implications.
     
    fishonjazz likes this.
  12. silesian

    silesian Well-Known Member

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    Checking a few other sources, ESPN has us at 87%, 538 has us at 89% and Basketball Reference has us at 68%.

    So maybe I'm a little high, but I'm confident. We are playing a lot of tankers down the road.
     
    fishonjazz likes this.
  13. NAOS

    NAOS Well-Known Member

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    @silesian
    Any chance we can get an update on the standings before the stretch run?

    Thanks dude.
     
  14. carolinajazz

    carolinajazz Well-Known Member

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    The Jazz will win 15 out of there last 18. What will that give them? The main thing is they have these 18 games to get better, which means cutting down on the turnovers, making better decisions in shot selection, play defense and rebound......and they should be ready for the playoffs!
     
  15. silesian

    silesian Well-Known Member

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    @Knowledgeofmine This didn't age well.
     
    colton likes this.
  16. Ron Mexico

    Ron Mexico Well-Known Member Contributor

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    It aged as well as his old account...
     
    infection likes this.
  17. MVP

    MVP Well-Known Member

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    Can we see final standings?
     
    colton likes this.
  18. MVP

    MVP Well-Known Member

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    Yikes....
     
  19. Wes Mantooth

    Wes Mantooth Well-Known Member

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    Crow, eaten.
     
    colton and MVP like this.
  20. Wes Mantooth

    Wes Mantooth Well-Known Member

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    **** him too.
     

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