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2024-2025 Tank Race

TOR and PHI aren't exactly bogo games...but it was critical to lose them because they have their own tanking aspirations and will tank harder against their upcoming opponents. Raptors have CHO x2 and WAS x2. PHI has WAS x2 and NOP x1. BKN will also be feverishly tanking with them and have WAS and NOP once each.

With loses against WAS and CHO, we could actually take the top spot.
 
TOR and PHI aren't exactly bogo games...but it was critical to lose them because they have their own tanking aspirations and will tank harder against their upcoming opponents. Raptors have CHO x2 and WAS x2. PHI has WAS x2 and NOP x1. BKN will also be feverishly tanking with them and have WAS and NOP once each.

With loses against WAS and CHO, we could actually take the top spot.
Great point regarding that Toronto and Philly are going to tank even harder against Charlotte, Washington, and New Orleans.
 
Does finishing worst usually guarantee that we DON’T get the top pick?
Only in the sense that the Jazz have a 14% chance to get it and the field has the other 86%. Same exact odds as 2 & 3. It just feels that way because whoever is sitting at #1 moves down if they don’t win the lottery.
 
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We're now 5.5 games out of 5th and have the 3rd most difficult strength of schedule coming up. With this stretch of tanking games I think we can safely rule out 5th worst record and can now start considering the worst record. Or in other words our range of likely outcomes went from 2-5 to 1-4 over the last 5 games.
 
Does finishing worst usually guarantee that we DON’T get the top pick?
No. Finishing first gives you the best chance at the first pick along with finishing 2nd or 3rd.
 
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