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2024-2025 Tank Race

Unfortunately this year is looking like an elite tanking year. I looked back through the final standings for the past 10 years and our winning percentage of 0.226 would have given us the following best odds over that time span:

3rd, 2nd, 1st, 1st, 1st, 2nd, 1st, 1st, 3rd, 4th
 
NOLA, for a team supposedly tanking, really tried to win last night. All starters played huge minutes
 
Dont show this to all the people bitching.
Its about to get really tricky though. Starting on jan 12 we have Brooklyn, Charlotte, NOP, NOP, Wizards with an OKC game mixed in there. If we are playing like we are now we go 3-2 or 4-1 against those tankers. Make a Clarkson trade right now if you can... find contusions and do some maintenance. Williams/Collier need to be very prominent. That is the stretch that could take us from 5th with a chance at 3 or 4 to fighting off Porty for 6 or 7. We have been fine so far but FAFO time is coming and we need to be completely shameless.
 
Its about to get really tricky though. Starting on jan 12 we have Brooklyn, Charlotte, NOP, NOP, Wizards with an OKC game mixed in there. If we are playing like we are now we go 3-2 or 4-1 against those tankers. Make a Clarkson trade right now if you can... find contusions and do some maintenance. Williams/Collier need to be very prominent. That is the stretch that could take us from 5th with a chance at 3 or 4 to fighting off Porty for 6 or 7. We have been fine so far but FAFO time is coming and we need to be completely shameless.

We've been doing a fine job of tanking so far, and in most years we would be set up very nicely for a top 3 odds. We happen to be tanking in a year with more really bad teams than the NBA has seen for at least the last 10 years.

The competition for the tank is fierce this year, and we will need to go above and beyond a normal tank year to ensure great lottery odds.
 
We've been doing a fine job of tanking so far, and in most years we would be set up very nicely for a top 3 odds. We happen to be tanking in a year with more really bad teams than the NBA has seen for at least the last 10 years.

The competition for the tank is fierce this year, and we will need to go above and beyond a normal tank year to ensure great lottery odds.
And the Horncats will be getting a couple guys back and Raps should play a little better... NOP schedule gets easier, but we have some wins coming down the pipeline and there will be a few teams that try to pull the late tank when they see the writing on the wall. Losses will be hard to come by so need to do our work early.

NOP will also want to showcase Zion and because of his contract he will want to show he is healthy... If he can give them a stretch of 25-30 games I think they take themselves out of the picture. We won't catch the Wiz and I am doubtful Charlotte figures it out long enough.
 
NBA.com has team win% since 1996-1997, so the past 28 years. There has only been one other year (1997) that has had more than 3 teams finish with a record of 0.250 or lower. The average number of teams that finish with a record of 0.250 or lower is 1.89. (Yes, I've had a lot of time on my hands pretending to be busy at work today).

Either teams are going to start winning games because this pace is unsustainable, or we are looking at the largest group of disgusting tanking teams in 27 years.
 
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And the Horncats will be getting a couple guys back and Raps should play a little better... NOP schedule gets easier, but we have some wins coming down the pipeline and there will be a few teams that try to pull the late tank when they see the writing on the wall. Losses will be hard to come by so need to do our work early.

NOP will also want to showcase Zion and because of his contract he will want to show he is healthy... If he can give them a stretch of 25-30 games I think they take themselves out of the picture. We won't catch the Wiz and I am doubtful Charlotte figures it out long enough.

Teams will win more games, but it is just going to be difficult to keep pace. Every one of the bottom 5 front offices has the same goal at this point. They all want to lose as many games as they can. We've been tanking just fine, but we need to start tanking harder, and trade guys out earlier than our competition.

Outlast, Outwit, Outtank.
 
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