The team ahead of us in the standings that is most likely to overtake us is Milwaukee. They have only won 3 games without Giannis all year and with NOP being so terrible they actually have a huge benefit of losing games. There is already national NBA talk about how they should shut Giannis down for the rest of the season.
The Jazz currently have won 3 less games than them, so if they maintain their win percentage without Giannis for the rest of the year they will only win 8 more games which means we can only win 10 more games to stay ahead of them.