What?I think it suggest how lottery odds work...
What?I think it suggest how lottery odds work...
You can only jump into the top 4, so making it open 5-9 makes it a 50/50 proposition.What?
Right. I’m referring to the weirdness of having 10-30 being protected.You can only jump into the top 4, so making it open 5-9 makes it a 50/50 proposition.
The thing that is weird is starting the protections again at 10, but I guess Indy is just safeguarding against other teams getting lucky and out tanking them.
If you believe in the conspiracies then having one of the premier players blow out his Achilles gives you a very likely chance at the top pick. Calling it now beyaches. Just like I did last year after the Luka trade MONTHS before it happened.Could definitely be the case. Although I think I'd still prefer a pick in the 10-13 range in this year's draft over a 2031 pick.
So what’s the net incentive structure for Indiana then? Either be so bad they’ve got the worst record so they have a 50/50 chance of keeping the pick, or they try to get to the 10th worst record and keep the pick at 10 or below or keep it at 1-4 if they get over lucky?Right. I’m referring to the weirdness of having 10-30 being protected.
Fur what?
That better not include this year’s Pacers pick.. they’re dead last currently.
1. Get a really good player on a really good contractSo what’s the net incentive structure for Indiana then? Either be so bad they’ve got the worst record so they have a 50/50 chance of keeping the pick, or they try to get to the 10th worst record and keep the pick at 10 or below or keep it at 1-4 if they get over lucky?
Good info. ThanksLIstened to the Hoop Collective podcast on the way to work today. First of all there was a difference of opinion on whether the Pacers will try to go for 10 and they wanted clarification on who wanted the 10-30 protections. Then McMahon emphatically said that this was not the same package that was offered to Utah, which I thought was clarifying. In other words someone from the Utah front office specifically told him that they did not get the same offer for Kessler, or in other words Utah's front office wanted it out there that they didn't pass on that deal, or in other words it's very possible that Utah would have taken that deal for Kessler.
The main distinction they made was that Zubac is cost controlled, or in other words Indiana was concerned about how much they were going to have to pay Kessler.
When the Pacers and the Clippers negotiated those protections for the Pacers' 2026 pick, the Pacers' current position in the standings played a big role obviously. In other words, the protections were based on where the Pacers might finish in the standings and the lottery odds. If the pick lands 5-9, it’ll go to the Clippers, but if it lands 1-4 or 10-30, it’ll stay with Indiana and the Clippers will get an unprotected 2031 pick. Because the Pacers have the third-worst record at the moment, I assume they’ll try to tank as hard as they can to keep that 1-4 pick. Their team did improve, though, so I’m not sure they can, at least not without major shenanigans. That 10-30 protection was to cover something that’s possible but unlikely.So what’s the net incentive structure for Indiana then? Either be so bad they’ve got the worst record so they have a 50/50 chance of keeping the pick, or they try to get to the 10th worst record and keep the pick at 10 or below or keep it at 1-4 if they get over lucky?