Colton's 2013 Mock Draft Compilation, v. 1.0

[colton]

I wonder if Colton has ever compared the Mock compilations to the actual draft results to see how accurate of a predictor the mocks are.

I suspect it holds true for about 6 picks then starts to diverge and is only slightly better than a random guess by 25.

I think I did that in 2011. I can't remember the details of what I found out, but I'm sure your general sense was correct--the early picks on the mock drafts are much more accurate than the later picks.

 

[Stifle Tower]

I think I did that in 2011. I can't remember the details of what I found out, but I'm sure your general sense was correct--the early picks on the mock drafts are much more accurate than the later picks.

Probably depends year over year as well. When we drafted Hayward, the first five picks were pretty set in stone, the next 3 were somewhat certain, but after that it was anyone's guess. Other years have had a lot of predictability throughout the lottery. This draft probably has more uncertainty all the way through than any in recent history.

 

[Getting Traded]

Olynyk and Plumlee? Is this a joke?

This order is not based on who the Jazz will draft but a statistical average of placement based on the compilation of the mock drafts that Colton collected. What's good about it is that, as he said, it gives us an idea of the pool of players that will be available for the Jazz to draft at their position in the draft.