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Colton's Mock Draft Compilation, v. 13.0

colton

colton

All Around Nice Guy
Contributor
Welcome to Colton's Mock Draft Compilation, v. 13.0. Here are who the mock drafts are listing as the "best players". See below for details. It should give a pretty good idea of who will be available when the Jazz pick.

1 Kyrie Irving (all previous rankings, from early to recent: 1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1)
2 Derrick Williams (2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2)
3 Brandon Knight (6-6-6-6-6-4-3-4-3-3-3-3)
4 Enes Kanter (3-3-3-3-3-3-3-3-4-4-4-4)
5 Jan Vesely (4-7-4-4-4-5-5-7-6-6-5-5)
5 Kemba Walker (5-5-5-5-5-6-7-5-5-7-7-6)
7 Kawhi Leonard (11-11-11-11-10-9-5-6-7-8-6-7)
8 Jonas Valanciunas (7-4-8-7-8-7-9-8-8-5-8-8)
9 Bismack Biyombo (8-8-7-8-7-8-8-9-9-9-9-9)
10 Alec Burks (9-9-9-10-9-10-10-10-10-10-10-10)
11 Tristan Thompson (12-15-13-13-12-12-11-11-11-11-11-11)
12 Marcus Morris (14-14-12-12-13-13-13-12-12-12-12-12)
13 Klay Thompson (20-20-20-20-20-20-20-19-18-18-18-17)
14 Jimmer Fredette (15-13-15-15-14-14-16-16-16-16-16-15)
15 Jordan Hamilton (12-12-14-14-15-15-14-12-14-15-15-14)
16 Chris Singleton (17-17-18-18-19-18-14-15-15-14-13-13)
17 Donatas Motiejunas (10-10-10-8-11-11-12-12-12-13-14-16)
18 Markieff Morris (16-16-16-16-16-16-17-17-17-17-17-18)
19 Tobias Harris (18-19-19-19-18-17-19-18-20-19-19-19)
19 Marshon Brooks (unr-unr-unr-unr-unr-unr-28-25-25-24-21-22)
21 Kenneth Faried (19-18-17-17-17-19-18-20-19-20-20-20)
22 Josh Selby (unr-unr-unr-unr-28-24-23-23-23-21-22-21)
23 Nikola Vucevic (unr-unr-unr-unr-unr-unr-unr-unr-unr-27-26-26)
24 Tyler Honeycutt (21-22-21-21-22-22-22-22-22-23-23-23)
25 Darius Morris (26-26-26-26-25-27-27-28-23-26-26-25)
26 JaJuan Johnson (?-?-?-?-?-?-?-?-?-?-?-unr)
27 Reggie Jackson (23-24-22-22-21-21-21-21-21-22-24-24)
27 Kyle Singler (29-29-29-unr-unr-unr-unr-unr-30-30-29-27)
29 Nikola Mirotic (27-25-30-29-23-26-24-25-27-25-25-28)
30 Davis Bertans (unr-unr-unr-unr-unr-unr-29-29-28-28-28-29)

On the first round bubble: Jeremy Tyler, Justin Harper, Lucas Noquiera, Trey Thompkins, Nolan Smith

Ranking details: I used the following mock drafts as "voters" for the best players. That is, I assumed they ranked the players in the order that they felt like the players deserved to be drafted. (This is an incorrect assumption, because some mock drafts account for perceived team need, but it should be close.) Then I used the "instant run-off voting" algorithm in a program I wrote to deduce who deserved to be ranked in the top spot, then in the second spot, then in the third spot, and so forth. See here for details on that algorithm: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Instant-runoff_voting

Mock drafts used:
https://www.hoopsworld.com/the_draft/FullMockDraft.asp Jun 11
https://www.nbadraftinsider.com/2011-mock-draft/ Jun 10
https://www.nbadraft.net/2011mock_draft Jun 10
https://walterfootball.com/nbadraft2011mock.php Jun 9
https://www.thesportsbank.net/nba-draft-stock-report/2011-nba-mock-draft-first-round-21811/ Jun 9
https://nbadraftroom2.blogspot.com/p/2011-nba-mock-draft.html Jun 9
https://www.mynbadraft.com/2011-NBA-Mock-Draft Jun 9
https://www.nba-draft.com/2011MockDraftRound1.html Jun 9
https://www.drafttek.com/NBAround12011.asp Jun 9
https://www.dynastybasketball.net/ Jun 8
Chad Ford 4.0 (ESPN insider) Jun 8
https://nbadraftguru.blogspot.com/ Jun 7
https://www.thefantasyninjas.com/?cat=8 Jun 6
https://nbasoup.com/?cat=10 Jun 6
https://realsportshype.blogspot.com/2011/03/2011-nba-mock-draft.html Jun 5
https://www.thehoopsreport.com/draft.aspx Jun 5
https://collegehoopsupdate.com/html/mock_nba_draft_2011.php Jun 4
https://www.hoopsaddict.com/2011-nba-mock-draft/ Jun 2
https://www.draftexpress.com/nba-mock-draft/2011/ Jun 2
https://www.squidoo.com/NBA_Mock_Draft Jun 1
https://thehoopdoctors.com/online2/2011/05/2011-nba-mock-draft-version-5-0/ May 31
https://basketball.about.com/od/nbadraft/a/mock-draft-2011.htm May 31

Changes from v 12.0: I dropped all mock drafts that hadn't been updated in the past two weeks. FIFTEEN of the TWENTY TWO I used this time had been updated since my last compilation.
 
Misc observations:

* 3 of the mocks now have Irving going at #2 or #3
* The gap between Knight and Kanter is pretty slim. 13 of the mocks have Knight picked before Kanter, but 9 of the mocks have Kanter picked before Knight.
* Bismack is ranked all over the place. Although he is ranked at #9 in my compilation, 7 of the mocks think he will still be on the board when the Jazz pick.
* The first 12 spots were unchanged from my previous compilation.
* Klay Thompson is the big winner this time, moving up from #17 to #12.
* Marshon Brooks and Nikola Vucevic continue to trend upwards.
* JaJuan Johnson breaks into the first round, skipping the "on the bubble" category altogether.
* Did something happen to Nikola Mirotic? The three mocks which had been updated most recently now no longer list him at all.
* Jimmer is the most common pick for the Jazz at #12: 8 of the mocks have the Jazz taking Jimmer.
 
colton said:
* Did something happen to Nikola Mirotic? The three mocks which had been updated most recently now no longer list him at all.
Click to expand...
My guess would be something that stems from him signing a contract that makes a buyout basically impossible to work until 2016. He's also not attending the Eurocamp. He might have even pulled out altogether.

In my dream world of the Jazz getting some later picks, he wouldn't be a bad guy to draft and stash.
 
Givony said earlier this week to expect Mirotic and Bertrans (sp?) to pull out of the draft by teh June 13th deadline.

I don't like that the euros have longer to decide than the NCaa players, but they are proffesionals so maybe its fair.
 
Thought you might like to see how the 99 mock drafts site sees the first 7 players being drafted. This is updated almost every day

Mock Draft
CAVS TWOLVES JAZZ CAVS RAPTORS WIZARDS KINGS
IRVING 96% - WILLIAMS 76%- KNIGHT 47%- KANTER 38%- VALANCUINAS 31% -VESELY 40% WALKER 25%

Basically 96% of the 99 mock drafts have the Cavs taking Irving at 1.
76% of the 99 mock drafts have the TWolves taking Williams at 2.
47% of the 99 mock drafts have the Jazz taking Knight at 3.
36% of the 99 mock drafts have the Cavs taking Kanter at 4.
31% of the 99 mock drafts have the Raptors taking Valancuinas at 5.
40% of the 99 mock drafts have the Wizards taking Vesely at 6.
25% of the 99 mock drafts have the Kings taking Walker at 7.
They took the biggest percentage of where the 99 mock drafts see a player taken. Comments?
 
Great Job Colton

Thanks Colton for keeping us up to date. Good info. Hope you don't mind me adding to your thread. Figured I would get hammered for starting a new thread.
 
jazzrule said:
Thought you might like to see how the 99 mock drafts site sees the first 7 players being drafted. This is updated almost every day

Mock Draft
CAVS TWOLVES JAZZ CAVS RAPTORS WIZARDS KINGS
IRVING 96% - WILLIAMS 76%- KNIGHT 47%- KANTER 38%- VALANCUINAS 31% -VESELY 40% WALKER 25%

Basically 96% of the 99 mock drafts have the Cavs taking Irving at 1.
76% of the 99 mock drafts have the TWolves taking Williams at 2.
47% of the 99 mock drafts have the Jazz taking Knight at 3.
36% of the 99 mock drafts have the Cavs taking Kanter at 4.
31% of the 99 mock drafts have the Raptors taking Valancuinas at 5.
40% of the 99 mock drafts have the Wizards taking Vesely at 6.
25% of the 99 mock drafts have the Kings taking Walker at 7.
They took the biggest percentage of where the 99 mock drafts see a player taken. Comments?
Click to expand...

This has not been updated since 5/21
 
How can people have Marcus Morris at the 12th pick? Utah's not interested right? Has anybody heard? All I heard was he didn't give it his all when he was trying out for Utah
 
Jazzfanz said:
How can people have Marcus Morris at the 12th pick? Utah's not interested right? Has anybody heard? All I heard was he didn't give it his all when he was trying out for Utah
Click to expand...
If Kyrie Irving miraculously slides to #3, and Biyombo is gone before #12, I think Morris would be a solid pick, if the Jazz are convinced he can play the 3.

Favors-AJ
AJ-Millsap-Morris
Millsap-Morris-CJ
Hayward-Raja-CJ-Irving
Irving/Harris
 
I still like the idea of Kanter, Jimmer or Knight, Singleton. Or hope Dwill drops to Jazz at 3 and then trade him to the Cavs for the 4th, 31st and Memo's contract with there trade exception! Then have that cap space to go after Wilson Chandler
 
The Thriller said:
LOL @ the Jimmer haters. Their predictions of Jimmer falling during the workouts are complete fail.
Click to expand...

I am an open Jimmer hater - I never predicted his stock would fall during workouts, but I will predict Jimmermania will have lasted longer than Jimmers NBA career. I wish we could get this draft over with so his career can be a "complete fail" already. I'm so tired of it.
 
Mongoose said:
I am an open Jimmer hater - I never predicted his stock would fall during workouts, but I will predict Jimmermania will have lasted longer than Jimmers NBA career. I wish we could get this draft over with so his career can be a "complete fail" already. I'm so tired of it.
Click to expand...

Jimmer is such a horrible player I am sure it will be over quickly. Has nothing that has happened since the college season ended show you that he is a NBA player. I mean Sacramento is seriously looking at him with the 7th pick.
 
mellow said:
Givony said earlier this week to expect Mirotic and Bertrans (sp?) to pull out of the draft by teh June 13th deadline.

I don't like that the euros have longer to decide than the NCaa players, but they are proffesionals so maybe its fair.
Click to expand...

Whoops. Looks like both stayed in. Noriega pulled out. Mirotic probably will not be over for another 3 years, but if he is still there in the second round get second rounder KOC. Have a feeling Portland may buy a pick and take him.
 
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