Election Prediction Thread
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Stars Fan
Well-Known Member
Republicans making the "Caravan" the key message after the murders in Pittsburgh is sure to be a winning strategy. I voted Blue wave, but I seriously think they may have pushed the middle to the left. I would not be surprised is we see a blue tsunami. I will be very surprised if the Dems don't take the House.
My prediction is that almost everyone I voted for will lose. I'm a moderate leaning slightly left in Utah. My vote basically cancels out my mother.
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538 has Democrats at 7/8. That's not "for sure".
Stars Fan
Well-Known Member
As usual, knowing absolutely nothing about the subject, I can speak simple declarative truths that are beyond dispute.
I noticed that my cows just don't care. They believe life will go on the same tomorrow as it did today.
my cats still come to the porch when I get home to beg for their pan of milk, and my dogs still get pretty excited about seeing me. My wife still gossips with her friends at work, at church, and with all her relatives with the time of day to talk.
My paycheck is still gonna be spent before I know it, unless I deliberately intercept some and put it where I AND MY WIFE can't reach it, like my 401(K).
AIN'T NO DAMN ELECTION KIN FIX ANY OF THIS.
I noticed that my cows just don't care. They believe life will go on the same tomorrow as it did today.
my cats still come to the porch when I get home to beg for their pan of milk, and my dogs still get pretty excited about seeing me. My wife still gossips with her friends at work, at church, and with all her relatives with the time of day to talk.
My paycheck is still gonna be spent before I know it, unless I deliberately intercept some and put it where I AND MY WIFE can't reach it, like my 401(K).
AIN'T NO DAMN ELECTION KIN FIX ANY OF THIS.
candrew
Well-Known Member
When you look at the numbers I don't know how in the world the democrats take the senate. Everything would have to break for the democrats AND Beto would have to take Texas. And I just don't see him beating **** face.
Although, an unapologetic liberal consistently polling in the mid-40's in a statewide Texas election?
Unheard of.
Although, an unapologetic liberal consistently polling in the mid-40's in a statewide Texas election?
Unheard of.
The polling doesn't make Cruz a runaway fav. I like Cruz. I preferred him over Trump, but decided Trump was better because he really doesn't care what his critics do or say, and is doing stuff nobody else could have done. And when he's done, unlike Obama, he really has no grand global agenda to push. He will go home and do other stuff.
Every politician should have better stuff to do when they've done their public bit for eight years.
We should defund the DC retirement package and make damn sure politicians don't just hang around DC being lobbyists or Deep State operatives.
I really don't see how the nice word "liberal" can really ring true for ideologues with visions of managing mankind. Especially when the management operates with herd mentality/././././
Breitbart, with an inside track with Trump homies, has been turning more positive. The Cavanaugh hearings breathed new life into that crew. The unashamed hate rhetoric from the left has revived the camp.
Still, they have not expected to hold a majority in the House. They have upped their hopes for the Senate by about two seats.
A crazy Pelosi house is all Trump will need to get himself re-elected for four more years. I believe we will have an economic downturn, and I think a lot of people will blame the dems for that. The Resistance will appear to be the problem for two years.
The House will sink to all-time lows as scapegoats for everything from budget deficits to gridlock. A massive, more committed conservative opposition to progressive agenda politics will look like a brand new Tea Party. In short, Trump will begin to look reasonable...….
National Socialist Dems will practically be the end of the Dem Party. yah yah yah. I know who you guys are as a group and as individuals, but the tide has turned. This is generational. The most intensively indoctrinated generation is rejecting..... as in a sort of anaphylactic shock sort of immune phenomena.... the whole ball of progressive wax. People just want things to get better, somehow. Jobs.
and that's the Word on the Street from California.
Still, they have not expected to hold a majority in the House. They have upped their hopes for the Senate by about two seats.
A crazy Pelosi house is all Trump will need to get himself re-elected for four more years. I believe we will have an economic downturn, and I think a lot of people will blame the dems for that. The Resistance will appear to be the problem for two years.
The House will sink to all-time lows as scapegoats for everything from budget deficits to gridlock. A massive, more committed conservative opposition to progressive agenda politics will look like a brand new Tea Party. In short, Trump will begin to look reasonable...….
National Socialist Dems will practically be the end of the Dem Party. yah yah yah. I know who you guys are as a group and as individuals, but the tide has turned. This is generational. The most intensively indoctrinated generation is rejecting..... as in a sort of anaphylactic shock sort of immune phenomena.... the whole ball of progressive wax. People just want things to get better, somehow. Jobs.
and that's the Word on the Street from California.
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The OP Poll lacks the one realistic scenario.....
The Purple Whimper Gridlock.
Rs gain three seats in the Senate, and get to put a centrist globalist Supreme Court judge on the bench in place of the really nice and truly liberal Ginzberg who could be reasonable enough to stick to principles and smile at her conservative cohort.
Ds take the House by less than five, but enough to keep every Trump legislative agenda proposal off the table. They will rage around the House like lunatics make Dems turn crimson for all the stupidity they will run on their media base, until 80% of Americans will just turn off the news and be glad if they can keep their jobs.
Impeaching Trump or anyone else will be the frosting on the cake for a new surging conservatism that might not even find Jeb Bush on the "right side".
The Purple Whimper Gridlock.
Rs gain three seats in the Senate, and get to put a centrist globalist Supreme Court judge on the bench in place of the really nice and truly liberal Ginzberg who could be reasonable enough to stick to principles and smile at her conservative cohort.
Ds take the House by less than five, but enough to keep every Trump legislative agenda proposal off the table. They will rage around the House like lunatics make Dems turn crimson for all the stupidity they will run on their media base, until 80% of Americans will just turn off the news and be glad if they can keep their jobs.
Impeaching Trump or anyone else will be the frosting on the cake for a new surging conservatism that might not even find Jeb Bush on the "right side".
D
Deleted member 5000
Guest
I could see Trump supporters saying the country is on the wrong track because we're still allowing in too many illegals.
Alfalfa
Well-Known Member
In fact, 16% of voters said just that.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/el...m-election-2018-updates-news-analysis-n930691
Thee Idiotic Minivan K
Well-Known Member
I don’t like any of those scenarios.