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ESPN individual player stat projections

That's not no MPG works. There are missed games to factor in.

I took that into account, they say Rudy misses 5 games this year, Ed misses 7.

Lets also assume that Ed covers almost all of Rudy's games whilst he's out.

For example, Ed plays 14 minutes per X 70 games, equals 980. 30 minutes X 5 games Rudy misses equals 150, plus 980, equals 1130. Divide that number by 75, you get 15 minutes per game. Not 20.

Also, they say, Bojan, Joe and Green will play 81,82,77 respectively. Not enough games for Davis to average those 20 minutes. It clearly states to me that they think Davis will not only play centre, but get minutes outside of the centre role, which is interesting. Which I also don't agree with. The only way I see it,is f we are blowing opponents out, almost every other game.
 
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Yeah I think just looking at the minutes per game allocations for some of the dudes on our team has me scratching my head. Where does the 20 minutes come from in terms of Ed Davis. I think they have Rudy at 33mpg, therefore Davis should be 15mpg. Where does the extra almost 5 minutes come from?

I really like Ed, but 14 or 15 minutes in the regular season is most we should play him. 10 or so in the playoffs.

That's not no MPG works. There are missed games to factor in.
Between missed games and probably the assumption that he plays a little 4. The missed games thing doesn’t add that much, though. If he usually plays 18 but then gets 30 with a Gobert injury, and if Gobert is out 10 games, it only adds 1.5 MPG over the season.
 
I just find it truly interesting that ESPN thinks that Ed Davis, after backing up Jarett Allen from the Nets, will find 2 extra minutes of play from what he averaged last season, behind a starting centre, who is a two time defending DPOY. Yeah......no. But, everybody makes mistakes sometimes.
 
I took that into account, they say Rudy misses 5 games this year, Ed misses 7.

Lets also assume that Ed covers almost all of Rudy's games whilst he's out.

For example, Ed plays 14 minutes per X 70 games, equals 980. 30 minutes X 5 games Rudy misses equals 150, plus 980, equals 1130. Divide that number by 75, you get 15 minutes per game. Not 20.

Also, they say, Bojan, Joe and Green will play 81,82,77 respectively. Not enough games for Davis to average those 20 minutes. It clearly states to me that they think Davis will not only play centre, but get minutes outside of the centre role, which is interesting. Which I also don't agree with. The only way I see it,is f we are blowing opponents out, almost every other game.
Plus blowouts where Gobert sits early
 
On day one, the two best shots our offense will be able to generate are (1) a Rudy dunk, and (2) a Bojan corner 3. Right now I’m not flinching at 18 ppg. I think Q should make that happen.

Tony Jones is saying the Jazz are running plays they used to run for Gordon Hayward in order to feature Bojan. I could see him get 16 or 17 ppg, with Rudy also in that range. The thing people aren't factoring in is that both Jeff Green and Royce O'Neale could be in double-figures this year as well.
 
Plus blowouts where Gobert sits early

Which I mentioned in my last paragraph. But that can also be somewhat offset for close games, where Rudy might play 38 minutes.

In any case, if there are so many blowouts in our favor, then I take issue with the stat where they have Rudy playing almost 34 minutes. That would surely not be the case then. An extra 5 minutes for Ed just seems weird, considering that Jarett Allen averaged 26, Ed 17 last year., which doesn't even add up to 48 minutes at the centre position. In any case, if it is a true blow out. I would want Bradley out there.
 
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