What's new
By:

Game Thread Feb 01, 2025 03:00PM MT: Orlando Magic @ Utah Jazz

Added to Calendar: 02-01-25

NUMBERICA said:
With the 2nd worst record you cannot get the 5th pick, you can get top-4 or 6th.

The two (range of) outcomes with the 2nd-worst record is either top 4 (14%+14%+14%+10%) at 52% or 6th at 48%.
Click to expand...
That doesn't make sense. What if the 1st seed wins the lottery, then you are jumped by three other teams?
 
NUMBERICA said:
With the 2nd worst record you cannot get the 5th pick, you can get top-4 or 6th.

The two (range of) outcomes with the 2nd-worst record is either top 4 (14%+14%+14%+10%) at 52% or 6th at 48%.
Click to expand...
What?

If the team with the worst record gets their lottery balls drawn then 2nd worst team will replace them as the 5th pick.

Its 52% (top 4), 28% (5th) and 20% (6th).... so only 1 out of 5 times they fall to that 6th spot which is their ultimate floor.
 
Even the 3rd worst team lands in top 5 67% of the times, and their "pick floor" of 7 is highly unlikely at 7%. It requires all three 14% teams to miss out on the lottery. The most likely pick for them is 6th though, but again they are in the "50/50" range to win in the lottery and are also very much in play for the 5th pick.
 
slc said:
I agree I like when a coach pulls the player, talks to him about what he did wrong, what he needs to do right.
Then tells him to get himself mentally ready because he's going back in soon.
Click to expand...

Yeah... you're supposing Keyonte hasn't already been told that 67 times and still doesn't get it or refuses to listen.
 
NUMBERICA said:
With the 2nd worst record you cannot get the 5th pick, you can get top-4 or 6th.

The two (range of) outcomes with the 2nd-worst record is either top 4 (14%+14%+14%+10%) at 52% or 6th at 48%.
Click to expand...
www.tankathon.com

2026 NBA Draft Lottery Odds | Tankathon

Detailed 2026 NBA lottery odds. View the current odds for each lottery spot to get specific picks. See the chances that a pick is traded based on position.
www.tankathon.com www.tankathon.com
 
NUMBERICA said:
With the 2nd worst record you cannot get the 5th pick
Click to expand...
With the 2nd worst record you can get any of the top 6 picks. You can not get any picks later than 6th. So you can definitely get the 5th pick. The 5th pick is actually the pick with the highest odds according to the tankathon chart.
 
fishonjazz said:
With the 2nd worst record you can get any of the top 6 picks. You can not get any picks later than 6th. So you can definitely get the 5th pick. The 5th pick is actually the pick with the highest odds according to the tankathon chart.
Click to expand...
Yeah, others have chimed in. I don’t quite get it but whatever.
 
I still have no idea why Orlando wants to continue wasting time not surrounding their very good core with more shooting/scoring, but w/e.
 
Tremendous Upside said:
Not sure about that, but I presume they don't want to surround their very good core with nonexistent defense and out-of-control play.
Click to expand...
You have to give and take at some point. If your offense is 29th in the NBA, you have a problem and need some scoring/shooting, regardless of the minor hit your defense *may* take. Even you cant be that stupid to argue otherwise. It doesnt *have* to be Sexton, but they should be going after someone.
 
Nate505 said:
Yup, when you're the worst team in the NBA, that #1-2 pick is all but guaranteed.

Sincerely,

The Detroit Pistons
Click to expand...
You didn't know what he meant either.
There are odds that differ depending on your record. Nothing is guaranteed other than having better odds.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Share this page
Back
Top