Anyone that thinks we are somehow guaranteed to be a playoff team next year doesn't have a grasp on the western conference. The parity in the western conference is insane this year and I have a news flash for you it is going to be even harder next year. There isn't a single team that you look at and think they are likely to take a step back next year. Not one team. In fact it is the opposite for almost every team. Just look at the teams that are currently not in the playoffs.
Blazers- These guys are struggling right now but they have a really solid starting 5. The bench is the issue. They have a guy in Sharpe though that has insane upside and I would put money on him being a major contributor for them next year. In the draft they are likely looking at pick in the 10-18 range. A guy like Jarace Walker or Fili would make a lot of sense for them. They just got Payton back who is a really good defensive wing. Then I would expect them to use the tax payer exception as well to add one more piece to the bench. Likely a vet big.
Thunder- They are set to make a huge leap next year. I can't wait to see Chet in the starting lineup with SGA, Dort, Giddey and Williams. I also expect them to use their capspace this summer to bring in another key piece.
Lakers- They have Lebron and Davis locked up plus a ton of capspace. It should be interesting to see how they put it all to work.
Spurs- There direction likely hinges a lot on if they get that top 2 pick. If they end up with Scoot or Victor then I think they transition right away to win now mode. They already have 2 stud wings in Keldon Johnson and Vassell. Add in either Scoot or Victor and I think they get pretty aggressive with their cap space. With Pop being as old as he is I think he will want to exit this rebuild as quickly as possible. The three rookies this year will have a lot to do with how quickly they transition to win now but I really like all 3.
Rockets- In a normal rebuild I think they would stay patient for another year but their 1st rd pick is only top 4 protected otherwise it goes to the thunder and I don't think they want to risk an early lotto pick to the thunder if they can avoid it. I think they finish with the worst record so they likely add Victor, Scoot, Amen or Miller. To a decent young core already. In free agency I think they go hard after Myles Turner or Jakob. Turner being their first choice. I could also see them having a lot of interest in Jordan Clarkson as a vet presence.
With our pick being top 10 protected and the western conference being such a beast I could see us having a better team next year and still having a worse record.
You actually tried to make a case for all the bottom 5 teams to be competitive? Lmao. Which team are you a fan of.. as I cannot determine the color of glasses you are wearing. Maybe just "anti-Jazz"?
"Rockets have a decent young core"
Not if you ask Rockets fans they dont. They also were without first round picks for what, 4 or 5 years? Only 2 picks into their rebuild from scratch and even their own fans think that one is a bust and even the other one might never become elite. Where are their AS level guys?
"Spurs are gonna be agressive with their cap space"
And who is the big name FA that wants to go there? Pop is old but doesnt seem to be in a hurry... plus they just sold their best player in DJM. You dont sell your best player if you plan to be win now a year later.
Lillard is not getting any younger, and he has carried the Blazers a lot. Their core is not that good. Grant is solid though.
Lakers have 30M of space next year. Yay! Not gonna fix that mess with 30M, especially since you dont have picks to draft cheap rookies in or as trade assets.
Only team I agree will likely come up is Thunder.
But on the other hand I see 3 teams trending down (GSW, Suns, Clippers) that all have issues (core age and youth failing for GSW, depth issues and ownership/FO mess at PHX, constantly injured aging stars in LAC).