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Jazz 2017/18 Playoff Bus! All Aboard!

FarrakhanJazzFan said:
The absolute best scenario I found was the Jazz winning out, OKC gets upset by Miami and New Orleans and Minnesota both win out. That produces: 3. Utah, 4. Portland, 5. New Orleans, 6. San Antonio, 7. Minnesota, 8. OKC
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Can New Orleans lose to the Spurs for their last game and just have those two flip? Or does other **** happen in that scenario? Playing th Spurs isn’t the best scenario in my view, though I would prefer them to OKC.

Things are gonna be crazy these next few days. I guess the easiest thing is just to wait. I know a lot of these teams play **** teams, but I’m sure there will be at least one loss that everyone penciled in for a win.
 
Catchall said:
I'd rather play NOLA than the Spurs in round one. Also, I'm not sure playing the Warriors in the second round is better than playing the Rockets. The Warriors are vulnerable without Steph, but if they get into the 2nd round and get him back during that series, they could ramp up quickly.

If OKC would lose to Miami, that would take a lot of pressure off of us. We have tie-breakers over SAS, Minny, NOLA and could hold on to the 4th seed. But we have to stay a game ahead of the Thunder. If they tie us, they'll leapfrog us due to the tie-breaker.
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It seems like the Pelicans are the least likely opponent in the first round if the Jazz end up with 48 or 49 wins. Unless there's a truly bizarre upset -- like the OKC losing to Memphis or San Antonio losing the Kings, I just don't see it.

The only scenario where we play the Pelicans is if Denver loses to Portland but beats Minnesota and New Orleans loses to the Clippers and beats the Spurs. That seems incredibly unlikely. Denver is eliminated if it loses to Portland tonight and I don't know if they have anything in the tank on the road against Minnesota.
 
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FarrakhanJazzFan said:
It seems like the Pelicans are the least likely opponent in the first round if the Jazz end up with 48 or 49 wins. Unless there's a truly bizarre upset -- like the OKC losing to Memphis or San Antonio losing the Kings, I just don't see it.

The only scenario where we play the Pelicans is if Denver loses to Portland but beats Minnesota and New Orleans loses to the Clippers and beats the Spurs. That seems incredibly unlikely. Denver is eliminated if it loses to Portland tonight and I don't know if they have anything in the tank on the road against Minnesota.
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If the Jazz lose to Portland, then there's no way we finish 3rd. Even if our records are tied, Portland would win the tie-breaker due to Division record.

If the Jazz lose one of their last two games and end with 48 wins, it's very likely that we'll be tied with either San Antonio or New Orleans -- whichever of those two wins their head-to-head matchup to end the season.

The problem is that if OKC gets to 48 wins and gets us in a 3-way tie, they'll take over the 4th seed due to winning the season series with the Jazz 3-1, and that will push us to the 5th seed, either either San Antonio or New Orleans ending up 6th.

So the scenario that lets the Jazz play the Pels is for the Thunder to lose one of their last 2 games, and for the Pels to win theirs (including a win over San Antonio). Then the Jazz and Pels will be tied at 48 wins, and the Jazz will get homecourt due to owning the tie-break with the Pels.

If the Jazz move up to the 3rd seed, Portland will drop to the 4th seed, either NOLA or SAS will be the 5th seed, and OKC will be the 6th seed.
 
Catchall said:
If the Jazz lose to Portland, then there's no way we finish 3rd. Even if our records are tied, Portland would win the tie-breaker due to Division record.

If the Jazz lose one of their last two games and end with 48 wins, it's very likely that we'll be tied with either San Antonio or New Orleans -- whichever of those two wins their head-to-head matchup to end the season.

The problem is that if OKC gets to 48 wins and gets us in a 3-way tie, they'll take over the 4th seed due to winning the season series with the Jazz 3-1, and that will push us to the 5th seed, either either San Antonio or New Orleans ending up 6th.

So the scenario that lets the Jazz play the Pels is for the Thunder to lose one of their last 2 games, and for the Pels to win theirs (including a win over San Antonio). Then the Jazz and Pels will be tied at 48 wins, and the Jazz will get homecourt due to owning the tie-break with the Pels.

If the Jazz move up to the 3rd seed, Portland will drop to the 4th seed, either NOLA or SAS will be the 5th seed, and OKC will be the 6th seed.
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I was looking for a website where you plug things in and someone linked to one up above. Basically we can play the Pelicans as a 6th seed if the Pels lose to the Clippers but beat San Antonio and OKC loses to Miami.
 
Looks pretty hard to avoid OKC unless one of the other teams lose a game they aren't supposed to. In this case it is best to just win out and go for home court. The only thing we might be able to choose is whether we want to play portland or okc.
 
I like the Jazz's chances against ANYONE in a 7-game playoff format. As our post-January road-record confirms, defense travels. So let's win out and get the 3rd seed, and let the other teams decide who will be our first victim.
 
Really tough to call Blazers/Nuggets tonight. My gut says Blazers, but the Nuggets are the 4th best home team in the NBA this year and have been fighting hard for a playoff spot.
 
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