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Keyonte George’s Star Ascension

Who would you take right now if both were in their third year? I would take Key as he's a better passer. I might get killed for that but their numbers are insanely close. Key hopefully takes another jump this summer

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Probably Donovan because of defense. Not that he was ever great, and kind of devolved towards the end, but still a better defender than Keyonte.

Key's main advantage that he plays PG. Still kind of shocked Donovan has gone his entire career without anyone trying to make him their main PG.
 
Who would you take right now if both were in their third year? I would take Key as he's a better passer. I might get killed for that but their numbers are insanely close. Key hopefully takes another jump this summer

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Scoring outputs are not actually equal, since the points scored per game and player averages have increased from Dons year 3. Don was 15th in PPG while Keyonte is 22nd with a better number.

I would still choose Key. Better size for his position (so less of a theoretical liability), better free throw merchant, better playmaker, less selfish (hero ball) and that also shows in that we have Lauri who eats even better than Key does himself.

Boogie Cousins said in Fanduels JJJ trade analysis that Keyonte is a future superstar. He really wanted to nail that in and "warn everyone". I'm not quite there yet myself but Im buying a lot of Keyonte stocks right now.
 
Defensive gap between Mitchell and George is huge. I am willing to say that Key is not quite as bad as numbers say, but when they are this bad it’s hard to ignore. George needs to prove his impact, or more importantly his lack of massive negative defensive impact. Tanking makes things blurry….we’ll see how next season goes.

You could maybe say that they are close offensively, but again it’s not really been proven out by impact metrics. I think there is a perception that Key is better passer/ball handler just based on assist numbers, but that doesn’t seem to be the case. Mitchell really impacted his team’s TOV performance in a positive way whereas Key is the opposite.

With all that said, it is interesting to look back on where Mitchell was then and now. Mitchell was probably overrated at this time of his career and you could argue he was though the end of his Jazz career. Rudy was carrying so much more weight than him. I don’t think people consider Mitchell to be much different now than he was when he left Utah, but he’s actually made a massive jump since then. His defense has improved as has his efficiency and overall impact on both ends. I don’t think his improvement is recognized as much because he was overrated to start.

I think Mitchell was like top 25 when he was traded. Now I’d say he could be top 8 which is a massive jump. I’d be kind of surprised if Key sniffed where Don is now, but maybe a top 25-30 ish peak is within reach. I’d say his outcomes lie somewhere in between Lavine and Murray. Really comes to how much impact lies behind the nice counting stats. A non-tanking environment will be telling.
 
Defensive gap between Mitchell and George is huge. I am willing to say that Key is not quite as bad as numbers say, but when they are this bad it’s hard to ignore. George needs to prove his impact, or more importantly his lack of massive negative defensive impact. Tanking makes things blurry….we’ll see how next season goes.

You could maybe say that they are close offensively, but again it’s not really been proven out by impact metrics. I think there is a perception that Key is better passer/ball handler just based on assist numbers, but that doesn’t seem to be the case. Mitchell really impacted his team’s TOV performance in a positive way whereas Key is the opposite.

With all that said, it is interesting to look back on where Mitchell was then and now. Mitchell was probably overrated at this time of his career and you could argue he was though the end of his Jazz career. Rudy was carrying so much more weight than him. I don’t think people consider Mitchell to be much different now than he was when he left Utah, but he’s actually made a massive jump since then. His defense has improved as has his efficiency and overall impact on both ends. I don’t think his improvement is recognized as much because he was overrated to start.

I think Mitchell was like top 25 when he was traded. Now I’d say he could be top 8 which is a massive jump. I’d be kind of surprised if Key sniffed where Don is now, but maybe a top 25-30 ish peak is within reach. I’d say his outcomes lie somewhere in between Lavine and Murray. Really comes to how much impact lies behind the nice counting stats. A non-tanking environment will be telling.
Wow this is such a hater take. Or a spreadsheet take. Not sure. But really Lavine and Murray?

Lavine is one of the lowest BBIQ "star players" I have ever seen who in his absolute prime put up numbers because of infinite usage hero ball.... and Murray took 7 years to figure out how do get to the FT line and the dude has benefitted from playing 2 man game with the best offensive player ever for his entire career. If playing with Nurk gets Key to this level we have seen, then what would he produce with Jokic?
 
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