do you know what an outlier is? Statisticians "throw out games" all the time. All the ****ing time.
Only if the outlier is due to experimental error. Not if it does not fit your argument.
do you know what an outlier is? Statisticians "throw out games" all the time. All the ****ing time.
Interesting discussion going on. First and the most frustrating is i brought up solomon hill. I brought him up a couple of months ago and was lambasted by a couple people that are pimping now. I am ashamed of you and you know who you are.
Hill would be a great pick up even for the 10/12 mil range 2 years would be ideal with an option for 3. He is the kind of player that gives everything when he playes. He is n9t smooth but can be very effective.
I need to watch more to see whe he is inconsistent then much better. Playing time has something to do with it. Hill > ingles but ingles is a great 10 to 12 guy.
Deng is interesting because he is getting worse but he is the kind of vet that will find his nich in the league and have another 5 to 8 years to his career.
I wonder if deng can play minutes at the 5 in the small ball line up or move lyles to the 5. I am not sold on lyles at the 5 unless he puts on some muscle this summer. He has the size to be ok against most back up centers. As big a miss match on defense lyles would be he would be a bigger mismatch on offense.
I would love to fill out the roster with both
g hill, exum, neto
Hood, burks
Hayward, hill, ingles
Favors, deng, bolomboy
Gobert, lyles, withey
Or something like that
What can i say i am gluttonous. Play who ever is hot. No idea where burks is because of his injury history. Exum will need some time to get back to nba lvl.
Favors needs some breaks to be ready for the playoffs.
Rudy plays in a way that leads to ankle and knee sprains.
Hood can get 25 min a nightm
Deng and Hill are TREMENDOUS upgrades over Ingles and Booker. Both are better than league average starters for one. Ingles and Booker will NEVER be even poor rotational starters. We have our project, his name is Trey Lyles. He is still two years out from being something special. Quincy Acy, Brandon Bass, and Booker don't move the needle at all, and we need to stop wasting people's time with these type of pickups. Settling for chumps like these helps build Utah's rep as a "poor free agency destination." Nobody wan't to share a billing with those guys.
Only if the outlier is due to experimental error. Not if it does not fit your argument.
Let me ask you this way: if you were getting ready to guarantee S. Hill $48 Million dollars, would you count that last game of the year when you were projecting his stats based on past outcomes? That's a Yes or No question.
Well, first of all, no one appreciates your bullying tactics like demanding "yes or no" -- please try to be polite. If your world is black and white, that is fine, mine is not.
I think you are focused too much about the particular calculation of the arithmetic mean, which is a single value among a plethora of statistical analysis. It is very limited and just one indicator of central tendency, potentially misleading when used to project future outcomes.
I would look at all the data including the great game. I might look at the mean with and without a particular game if I feel there may be a reason why the game is not representative of a player's potential. I'd also look at variability of key statistics, not just averages.
The predictive power of ANY one game (good or bad) is practically zero. I would not, however, put my head in the sand and ignore it completely.
And there is no way I would offer him anywhere near $48M.
Sounds like something one might do to a late night pick up!In America it's called a blind squirrel.