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Marc Stein: Jazz-Warriors discuss pre-Lottery trade (Source says trade "likely")

chawx said:
regardless of how many coins are flipped, the chances are always 50%. Each coin flip counts as a separate instance and has no effect on the previous (or next) coin flip.

A better thing to try would be to find one of these: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/4-sided_die (call a number) and if you get that number, that's the chances we have at getting our pick.

--note: since I'm a D&D nerd and happen to have one of these at my desk at work, I tried it. Called a 2, got a 3. Tried it again, called a 4, got a 4! *We're totally getting that pick!*
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No,
The chances of 2 heads in 2 flips = 25%.
The chance getting 2 tails in 2 flips = 25%
The chance of getting heads + tails = 25%
And the chance of getting tails + heads = 25%. Adds up to 100%.

You're right that each flip is an independant trial of 50% probability.
 
Weezur said:
No,
The chances of 2 heads in 2 flips = 25%.
The chance getting 2 tails in 2 flips = 25%
The chance of getting heads + tails = 25%
And the chance of getting tails + heads = 25%. Adds up to 100%.

You're right that each flip is an independant trial of 50% probability.
Click to expand...

I got ya...for it to be a true 25% chance though, you would need to call upfront what you think the coin will do twice in a row and get it correct to "win". Basically, call heads, and flip it twice...if you get 2 heads, you're a "winner"!
 
chawx said:
I got ya...for it to be a true 25% chance though, you would need to call upfront what you think the coin will do twice in a row and get it correct to "win". Basically, call heads, and flip it twice...if you get 2 heads, you're a "winner"!
Click to expand...

Yep. Or flip 2 coins simultaneously and call it.

There wouldn't happen to be a D&D dice that you could get 27% with, is there? :P They've got some pretty crazy D & D dices that I remember.
Maybe a 100 faced die? Or.....a 9% die could work too if you do it right.

EDIT: 9% wont work, that was dumb, dunno where I got that.
 
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Weezur said:
Yep. Or flip 2 coins simultaneously and call it.

There wouldn't happen to be a D&D dice that you could get 27% with, is there? :P They've got some pretty crazy D & D dices that I remember.
Maybe a 100 faced die? Or.....a 9% die could work too if you do it right.
Click to expand...

It's been a LONG time, but... two ten sided dice can be used to be the equivalent of a 100 sided die. That is, assign die #1 to be the tens digit and die #2 to be the units digits. Then if your roll = less than 27, success!
 
Wes Mantooth said:
The Pistons had the worst attendance in the NBA by far (74.6%--next worst was Charlotte at 81.5%), are a large market, are thee city that resembles our struggling domestic economy, and are just about completely void of talent or players to get excited about.

They'll get a top 3. Charlotte will. And I think Toronto or Brooklyn will.
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I would not call Detroit a large market anymore. Their population is barely more than Memphis now. Not excited about Monroe or Knight? :)
 
colton said:
It's been a LONG time, but... two ten sided dice can be used to be the equivalent of a 100 sided die. That is, assign die #1 to be the tens digit and die #2 to be the units digits. Then if your roll = less than 27, success!
Click to expand...

lol yeah, that works nicely. Hopefully chawx has one of those.
 
NCJazz said:
I would not call Detroit a large market anymore. Their population is barely more than Memphis now. Not excited about Monroe or Knight? :)
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Detroit's 11th in market size, at least according to this link. And no, Monroe and Knight are not guys to really get excited about.
 
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