Counting the loss of only Hayward and Hill we lost the following.
2430 total pts
38.8 avg ppg
29.6 82game adjusted ppg
8.8 avg rpg
7.7 avg apg
2.02 avg spg
0.49 avg bpg
4.2 avg topg
I'm not going to calculate the 82game numbers for all of those to adjust for time missed, but they will all be lower.
We gain back the following just with Rubio, and who knows what Marshall will bring.
836 total pts
11.1 avg ppg
10.2 avg ppg
4.1 avg rpg
9.1 avg apg
1.71 avg spg
0.13 avg bpg
2.6 avg tpp
Rubio himself gives us back a decent portion of what was lost with both of them. His passing and assists will lead to more ppg from others on the team. The others will pick up the slack.
My main question is where will we get the additional 1600 pts we will need? That is almost 20ppg. Here are my thoughts on that.
Rubio was a better shooter in April of last year than he ever was. I hope he will pick it back up and get us 2ppg more.
Rudy was way better offensively at the end of the year than he ever was. If he can average the 17ppg he was doing thats 3 more ppg.
If Hood is healthy and our #1 offensive option his numbers will jump from 13ppg to at least 16ppg. 3 more
If Favors is actually healthy enough to be on the floor, I can easily see him jump from the 10ppg to 15ppg which isn't even the 16ppg he was at pre injury. Thats 5 more.
I can easily see Exum get more time and bump his numbers from 6.2 to 8 or 9. That's 2ppg easily, and being conservative.
If Burks gets time it's easy to see him bump from 6.7 to 9ppg. +2ppg
If Marshall even gets us 5ppg that's helpful.
Even just adding those possible changes, as one scenario, that adds back about 22ppg. They'll have to do more than that though because we lost more ppg than that due to Mack, Lyles, and Withey going, but I was being conservative. I just wanted to show it is not out of the realm of possibility to add most of the lost points back pretty quickly.
I also think we will can add much more with the dynamic of having a passing point guard. I want to point out that it will be huge if we can have guys when we need them. Hill was out a lot more that I would have liked when we really needed him. That should factor into these numbers and tell a story that is not easy to translate into ppg or wins/losses.
--thoughts? takes? hate mail?