I'm on board with either strategy. It just didn't seem like DL really valued the late first rounder from some of the things Locke said, and also moving that seemingly good second rounder for not much. I am fine with picking up a few assets with our space if there is not a good fit..
As far as our record... I think we may be worse than you think. I'm assuming no Marvin, RJ, and that there is a learning curve for Dante. We will have the worst record in the west. I think we finish no better than 5th worst.
I wouldn't rule out some 'unexpected' improvement by Burke, Burks, Favors, Gordon, Kanter. This order indicates who I think will improve the most.
Tank squads in the East will be:
Philly
Boston
Milwaukee
Orlando
(New York) - 80% chance that Melo is gone
(Detroit) - 50% Chance that a good coach can't bring them much further due to their roster flaws that couldn't be addressed via draft
Tanksquads in the West:
(Utah) - 80% Chance that it's around 30 wins, which is borderline tanking to me
(Sacto) - 75% accidental tank potential
(T-Wolves) - 70% Chance Love is gone
(Lakers) - 20% Chance for thorough rebuild while avoiding to give Phoenix a top5 protected pick and attack free agency next summer
So I count 4 sure-fire tank teams and 6 more that have incentives to tank or semi tank.
At least 2 more will be sucked into the tanking regions because they start the season real slow and at some point trying doesn't make sense from a basketball standpoint and maximizing odds is best.
The East will be improved if teams can stay healthy. (Atl, Washington, Brooklyn are good teams when healthy)
Charlotte is nasty and plays good D to make up for their 1-dimensional O.
Toronto will retain Lowry and has a surprisingly good team that really fits well together #MasaiUjiri #F***Brooklyn
Chicago is good with or without Rose.
Pacers are too talented to not make the playoffs even if their chemistry is completely gone.
Cavs have a real coach and added a lot of talent. They'll be the 9 seed.
One Team in the West will decide to tank because they're falling behind. So I can make a point for the 7-12 range. If Utah sucked harder like real hard or is simply overwhelmed by the competition in the West, they may tumble with all their youth. But I think they can grab a lot of wins vs East teams and their home advantage high altitude should give them an edge at home to overcome their inexperience in meaningless regular season games.