***OFFICIAL Prediction Thread - # of Wins?***

[colton]

61 entries thus far. If I had a calculator other than on my phone I'd give y'all an avreeg.

62 entries now

median = 35 wins
mean = 36.6
stddev = 6.8


edit: without b_line's outlier (73), its:

median = 35 wins
mean = 36.0
stddev = 5.0

 

[Dr. Jones]

62 entries now

median = 35 wins
mean = 36.6
stddev = 6.8


edit: without b_line's outlier (73), its:

median = 35 wins
mean = 36.0
stddev = 5.0

what the hell is that?

 

[Dr. Jones]

what the hell is that?

Unless of course that stands for the standard deviation rule, which measures the amount of variation or dispersion from the average

 

[Dr. Jones]

Btw, thanks Stoked.. but you and I have been 1up'd.

 

[colton]

what the hell is that?

Unless of course that stands for the standard deviation rule, which measures the amount of variation or dispersion from the average

Yep, "stddev" is Excel's command for standard deviation.

 

[franklin]

I agree. After the rough start, Jazz played nearly .500 for a stretch. Had Hayward shot better (his historic averages) and the team played better defensively (which we thought was going to be Corbin's main area of focus), Utah could have much better. And, the last 1 1/2 months, everyone except Burke just quit on Corbin.

Bordy, what do you think of this comment?

 

[Jazz Spazz]

what the hell is that?

Unless of course that stands for the standard deviation rule, which measures the amount of variation or dispersion from the average

Google wins again.

 

[Jazz Spazz]

Bordy, what do you think of this comment?

I'm not bordy, or one of his hundreds of alts... but there is no way the Jazz make the playoffs last year. Their best stretch was .500 ball and they could have made the playoffs?
42-42 would have been 7 games back of a tie for 8th in the west. Too many what ifs to speculate playoffs, especially with a rookie PG, a few vets, an underachieving core, and a bunch of scrubs. No way.

 

[Dr. Jones]

Yep, "stddev" is Excel's command for standard deviation.

Didn't know excel had that command.. thanks for the tip!

 

[stitches]

I think people are being overly optimistic. If anything our team just became younger and less experienced, we became more of a project than we were last year. We just exchanged 2 veterans that were integral part of the rotation for 1 fringe rotation veteran, one rotation guy with 4 years of experience, 2 rookies and one virtual rookie(Felix) who played less than 1 full game(in minutes) in his first season. We also lost the 3 guys with highest 3pt % and we might lose the 4th best as well before the season starts.

This team is extremely young and I think the lack of veteran leadership will be obvious in a lot of games. I still think we can improve over last year(mainly because of change of coach and system), but getting more than 10 wins more than last season is way too optimistic in my view.

 

[Hotdog]

I think Jazzfanz will be surprised. I saw some toughness in this team on the road last year. I swear we were a better road team last year than we have been in many years. I think with the new coaching and growth, this team is gonna be good.

 

[Stifle Tower]

I'm not bordy, or one of his hundreds of alts... but there is no way the Jazz make the playoffs last year. Their best stretch was .500 ball and they could have made the playoffs?
42-42 would have been 7 games back of a tie for 8th in the west. Too many what ifs to speculate playoffs, especially with a rookie PG, a few vets, an underachieving core, and a bunch of scrubs. No way.

Might also want to read the 2nd part of the quote I was responding to, which referred to having a decent bench (which Utah did not have).
My point was the Jazz did play close to .500 for a good stretch.
After the 1-14 start, the Jazz went 20-22 before a 4-21 skid to end the season. Had Utah added a couple of QUALITY vets to the team, namely a good PG (with Burke as the backup) and a quality forward, they would have been a much stronger team. My stipulation was also that Hayward would shoot around 45%/40% (his career avgs to that point). Yes, it's a lot of "what ifs." But the Jazz were set up to have a bottom-10 season. WE knew that.