What's new

The Biden Administration and All Things Politics

That is the narrative being pushed. In reality the bonds are not worth what SVB needed them to be worth to remain solvent. It wasn't an issue of liquidity but of a bank run forcing unrealized losses to become realized losses. SVB didn't have the assets to cover deposits. If SVB sold every asset they had for what it is worth, they could not make everyone whole.

The government is going to step in and make all SVB depositors whole. Biden says the FDIC payments will cover that cost but the FDIC payment are insufficient because they were set up to only have enough to cover $250k per depositor. The government has no choice. They have to make everyone whole and taxpayers will cover the gap.

The interest rate of government bonds is a problem but it is not *THE* problem. How many mortgages do you think are fixed at an interest rate below 4%? Nearly every bank in the country is sitting on a massive pile of loans with fixed interest rates lower than the current rate of inflation, and they lose money on those loan every day but so long as they don't sell the loan off, the loss is considered "unrealized". Nearly every bank is in the SVB boat and a run anywhere could crash any of them. So we get a lot of comforting happy talk.
To sell the bonds now would mean they get sold at significant loss. If they can be held until mature they will be worth a lot more.

Again, I'm not going to pretend to know a whole lot here.
 
That is the narrative being pushed. In reality the bonds are not worth what SVB needed them to be worth to remain solvent. It wasn't an issue of liquidity but of a bank run forcing unrealized losses to become realized losses. SVB didn't have the assets to cover deposits. If SVB sold every asset they had for what it is worth, they could not make everyone whole.
My understanding is that, due to the interest rate, the bonds are currently undervalued. I have read that this was poor fiscal planning on their part.

The government is going to step in and make all SVB depositors whole. Biden says the FDIC payments will cover that cost but the FDIC payment are insufficient because they were set up to only have enough to cover $250k per depositor. The government has no choice. They have to make everyone whole and taxpayers will cover the gap.
That's the amount required to be covered. Is there something that prevents them from covering more, if the FDIC so chooses?

Also, I've been reading that the Fed is stepping in tp help cover the shortfall. Have you read otherwise?
 
How many mortgages do you think are fixed at an interest rate below 4%?
Lots

Nearly every bank in the country is sitting on a massive pile of loans with fixed interest rates lower than the current rate of inflation, and they lose money on those loan every day but so long as they don't sell the loan off, the loss is considered "unrealized". Nearly every bank is in the SVB boat and a run anywhere could crash any of them. So we get a lot of comforting happy talk.
Most mortgages are sold, so banks aren't sitting on long term, high money loans. Most banks aren't chock full of venture capital depositers or crypto-focused, so it's not really something to worry about.
 
My understanding is that, due to the interest rate, the bonds are currently undervalued. I have read that this was poor fiscal planning on their part.
Again, I think that is a convenient narrative meant to misdirect away from the precarious situation across the entire sector. The biggest misstep SVB made was to be public about their need to raise capital. Their call for investment was read by the investor class, many of whom had investments in tech start-ups who banked with SVB, of risk and that perception of risk started a bank run.

Talking heads are voicing ideas to distance SVB from the sector. It was exposure to crypto. It was too much VC and tech start-ups money. It was over-allocation on underwater bonds. Nope. The entire sector is weak and none of them can survive a run. All that is needed to crash a bank right now is a strong enough rumor. A lot of people are really nervous. It was enough, although he has publicly denied it, that a Senator floated the idea of censoring social media to stop any rumors of this type.

 
If that's the definition of weakness, being succeptible to a run, financial institutions have been weak since the beginning of banking thousands of years. Banks aren't a storage facility.
 
I remember when a poster on jazzfanz said that trump isn't the leader of the republican party anymore.


Republicans obviously all still tremble in fear of trump.
 
I remember when a poster on jazzfanz said that trump isn't the leader of the republican party anymore.


Republicans obviously all still tremble in fear of trump.
LOL!
 
I remember when a poster on jazzfanz said that trump isn't the leader of the republican party anymore.


Republicans obviously all still tremble in fear of trump.
They all some little bitches. Let's be real. They are so scared of this...

eqnoerxwoam9ae3.jpg


Ms. Doubtfire did a better job of playing an overweight grandma than Trump does of playing a powerful man.
 

On Wednesday morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released a PPI (Producer Price Index) report that showed lower-than-expected inflation for the month of February. Prices were expected to rise .3 percent, but instead they fell:

The news comes on the heels of a CPI report that President Joe Biden pointed out “shows annual inflation is down by a third from this summer at a time when the unemployment rate remains near a 50-year low.”
 
Inflation goes up just not fast, banks are crashing, were in a recession and Democrats are happy. The stupidity is endless. Uneducated... They are literally celebrating inflation now lololololol. Brain dead morons really.

But price increases rose sharply again on a monthly basis, fueling concerns that a steady pullback in inflation at the end of last year has stalled.

On a monthly basis, though, prices advanced 0.4% following a 0.5% increase in January. Previously, monthly cost increases had slid to 0.1% to 0.2%.

"Though stress has spiked in the banking system, the Fed is still highly focused on taming inflation," says Ryan Sweet, chief U.S. economist of Oxford Economics, who expects a quarter-point hike.

Ian Shepherdson of Pantheon Macroeconomics also expects a quarter-point increase, "assuming markets stay calm and no more banks fail."

Despite the big monthly increase in consumer prices, economists still expect yearly inflation to resume its descent in the coming months. Goods prices generally have fallen as supply chain bottlenecks have improved and rent increases are expected to pull back.

 
It's just crazy how little people understand of the economy. They celebrate interest going up and inflation rising. Extremely undeducated and easy to manipulate.

Inflation rose in February but was in line with expectations, likely keeping the Federal Reserve on track for another interest rate hike next week despite recent banking industry turmoil.

The consumer price index increased 0.4% for the month, putting the annual inflation rate at 6%, the Labor Department reported Tuesday. Both readings were exactly in line with Dow Jones estimates.

But price increases rose sharply again on a monthly basis, fueling concerns that a steady pullback in inflation at the end of last year has stalled.

Consumer prices increased 6% from a year earlier, down from 6.4% in January and a 40-year high of 9.1% in June, according to the Labor Department’s consumer price index.

That marked the smallest annual gain since September 2021.

On a monthly basis, though, prices advanced 0.4% following a 0.5% increase in January. Previously, monthly cost increases had slid to 0.1% to 0.2%.

 
Back
Top