I always check Nate Silver on these questions. He lists WAA as having a moderate pro-GOP "house effect" on their polling numbers.
Interesting. Good to know thanks.
I always check Nate Silver on these questions. He lists WAA as having a moderate pro-GOP "house effect" on their polling numbers.
Very interesting. Romney is right that the studies are there. He just oh so nicely left out that they are biased towards him in obvious ways. Lol damn politicians.
About the polls- That would indicate that Romney was starting to move the polls in his direction before the debate. The debate performance by Obama will only accelerate that.
Since you're very sure and I'm very sure (franklin is even quoting me in his sig) I propose a wager.
Would you like to do a straight winner or would you like to set an over under on electoral votes won by Obama?
What's the wager and sure we can.
Edit: I am not sure by any means. I just think Romney is very much in this. I say they end up within 15 electoral votes.
Sure, what kind of stakes would you like? Traditionally, on message boards it's avatars or signatures for a specified period of time.
Since you believe they end up within 15 electoral votes I will set my number at Obama with 279 electoral votes. That would put Romney at 259. Is that a spread you would accept?
Edit: Just out of curiosity, are Romney backers aware that Obama really only needs Ohio or Florida realistically to win the election and Romney's gonna need both unless he can sweep basically all the other swing states?
Stoked back out while you can, seriously. Tink had a dream about this, and we all know how accurate they are.
Here's my question about the $5 trillion number: Every source I've seen bends over backwards to call it "half true" because they're grading Obama's statement there is a $5 trillion hole created and dinging him for not taking into account unspecified breaks as a "net number." In essence they ceded Romney's framing.
How would they grade the Romney statement that he doesn't cut taxes by $5 trillion? In my mind that seems to a "pants on fire" level lie given that the 20% decrease in marginal rates position is on his campaign website. Doesn't the grade here depend on the direction of the claim graded?
Yeah the 5 trillion disclaimer seems like a stretch until ROmney gives details on how he offsets that, if he ever does.
Edit: Just out of curiosity, are Romney backers aware that Obama really only needs Ohio or Florida realistically to win the election and Romney's gonna need both unless he can sweep basically all the other swing states?
Cutter admitting the 5 trillion number is incorrect.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kg0BmPhz2Dw