Handlogten's Heros
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Well the data is already there when the Jazz had Ricky Rubio (a player Rudy never developed great chemistry with and clogged the lane) and a fringe stretch-4* for a two-year sample size (not to mention '16-'17**). Derrick Favors is a damn fine player, but their overlapping shortcomings were killing this team and the lineup data painted a jaw-dropping picture that I'd have to look up to give the proper figures, but I feel like it was like 10 points per 100 possessions better with Gobert and without Favors.
We're replacing Favors** (who destroyed Gobert's room), Jerebko* (who was a stiff), Crowder* (who is 6-6), Thabo* (who is ancient and not a big), and Joe Johnson** (who couldn't guard anyone) with:
Bogdanovic, Royce, Jeff Green, and Ingles. Not to mention Mike Conley instead of Ricky. Holy smokes.
A closing lineup of DM, Conley, Joe, Bojan, and Rudy gonna be a bitch to deal with for opponents... great spot up shooters, multiple ball handlers/creators, and Rudy diving to the rim.
My only concerns are...
1- I'd like another vet big... either a true PF (Trevor Booker?) or a reliable center (Noah, Bogut?). I'm hopeful we can survive on the glass playing the combo of wings at the 4, but Booker might be good to have on certain nights. If there was an injury and you told me we need to rely on Tony Bradley then I'm really worried.
2- Backup pg... I'm not hopeful on Mudiay. I understand the signing, but him combined with the uncertainty that is Dante Exum scares me. DM clearly can play backup pg, so can Joe, but then who fills into their wing minutes? Oni I think could be passable, but if Mudiay is bad and Dante is hurt we are gonna be thin. We took a flier on Nigel Williams-Goss and I think he could be okay there. The fact that there is no second year team option on Mudiay kind of bugs me since he's a project. Would be nice if the project had a little more upside.
I think there is a legit chance Bradley (like 25-30%) is cut during camp... he makes no sense on this roster at this point. Next year he makes 3.5M (if we pickup his option) and he's not better than the replacement vets who are ready made to step in and play... guys that can be had for the minimum. If Howard or Morgan show out in camp or we have an opportunity to pickup a vet at the minimum that is willing to be the third center then I think we will be tempted. I think he's a waste of a roster spot and if we were to have Rudy or Ed out for an extended period we would bring in a vet and play them over him.
Hopefully giving roster spots to Bradley and Mudiay becomes a non-factor and it is a really small quibble on my part. Much smaller issue than prior years where we were asking if our starting pg, pf, and center were good fits with each other.