I’m not exactly a neocon who wants us to be the world’s policeman but one of my favorite conservatives to follow has some interesting thoughts:
So, this is actually a good contribution to the topic.
I've heard some politicians on the Dem Pres trail railing about Trump being trigger happy and outtabounds even tweeting about a rif between foreign contenders with their own issues, saying it's none of our business what Iran does, or Saudi Arabia.
Pretty sure Obama's deal with Iran bought the drones and missiles used in the attack.
So, here's the reality. Obama and Hillary, and European powers, were working to counter Russian influence in the Middle East. There is some evidence that we supplied, or at least enabled, ISIS to build up control, financial means, and weapons..... to sorta help us against Assad (and Russia). No Question Russia has been supplying and supporting Iran's nuclear technology and buildup. Obama tried to outbid Russia and get Iran on our side. Everyone wanted Iran on their side, one way or another, but Saudi Arabia and Israel.
So I've known Iranians for decades, of every political side. I believe Iran cannot become a democracy or stable Western ally. Too many remnants of fascists from back in Hitler's day. But enough truly Western people in there who really want a revolution to throw the bums out. Just too many local traditionalists, enough of them Islamic fundamentalists, it'd just be another forever bloodbath of genocidal partisans.
Israeli and Mark Levinite Iran hate is pretty justified. There is really an intense political drive to destroy Israel forever, to drive the Jews into the sea, or kill them all.
All that is old news.
What is new, is simply this. Sanctions are hurting Iran. Iran oil production is impaired and reduced by lack of access to oil equipment only available from Western contractors and suppliers. In short. their oil wells are dropping off line one by one and can't be fixed.
China is heavily reliant on Iranian oil. Russia and China are exploiting this situation to the max, seeking to divide the West..... seeking to sink Trump. Both Russia and China are today doing everything they can to collude against Trump, and to influence the up coming election. Hurting Trump either in public opinion or economically is high priority political ****. And our Dems are all for it.
Trump did not retaliate on a drone that killed a US citizen a month or so ago.... was it one of our military? Can't remember. He said a response would kill hundreds of Iranians if we took out their site of launch or whatever. I'd have to go back and read up on it to get it straight again. But he did not respond to an Iranian drone attack on us, or on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. So the Iranians are just being emboldened by out reticence.
This was an act of war on Saudi Arabia..... a step up in the proxy war in Yemen that's been going on for years.
Trump should help the Saudis repair their oil jfacility, and step up the sanctions on Iran. He should take all the evidence of Iran's involvement to the UN and seek worldwide censure of Iran. Let the damn Chines and Russians vote against it, but get the vote on record, and submit all the proofs.
I think China is smiling in hopes that the sanctions will be lifted, that we will shamefully cave to the stupid Europeans who want the Obama deal with no enforcement on Iran, just smile and do whatever business while Iran fluffs it's military power, and makes war with Saudi Arabia and Israel. China hopes to get the Iranian oil. Pretty sure that China's navy is collecting near Hormuz.
So in effect, this is China doing proxy warfare against the US.
And that is why our CFR and other BritAm influence brokers are seeing China as a breakout threat to the New World Order. The Chinese are shrewd. They are usually cautious, long-term strategists. But Xi is a nutjob who has gone off the rails, imagining he is Mao with enough economic and military swagger to actually overturn the NWO program and make it an All China world. And he's got a hundred million aging excess males who can carry sticks if not guns, anywhere he wants to go.
This might go to war.
But just let me suggest, that our JFC agenda wonks, and other political agenda wonks who have been taking help from the Chinese.... it's time to think again, and get outta the deal. It will not go well for China. China has always been the thorn in the dreams for world peace, even more than the Middle East. Simply put, they are not Western institutionalists in any sense. They are and always will be, scheming warlords. They simply will never be a stable member of any power-brokering schema for world peace.
Whenever they calculate they can have their own way, they will be all-out for it.
Before WWII, our General Stillwell spent decades in China trying to build up a power network. He was responsible for the choice to take it communist under Mao. Most recently, it has been Canada's Maurice Strong who has been the designated China manipulator.
But, imo, The Chinese have outsmarted us, taken us for the fools we are, and have advanced to this point, and have now jumped the shark on the entire plan for world management. They seriously believe they can run the show.
In terms of betrayal of international accords, Xi is as bad as Hitler. And he has the concentration camps too.
So, anyway, Trump has no choice now, and our elites see it too. We will be adjusting our economic relations worldwide. We will be bringing production and critical military technology back onshore. We will be doing a booming economy, and Xi will likely lose out inside the Chinese political system, but it will take a few years. And Chinese military adventurism will fail, and will lose allies for their system worldwide.
All we need to do about Iran's attack on Saudi is help the Saudi's rebuild their production, supply equivalent arms and defense systems, and step aside if Saudi/Israeli forces do some tactical strikes against the Cruise missile sites and drone sites. And do the deal with Afghanistan, sans the Pakistani terrorist groups, and just focus on those foreign based renegades who won't honor Taliban leadership.
like Condelezza says..... Like Soros says......Like the Rockefellers say..... Like the Queen says.....
no new war. No shock and awe exercises. No bragadoccio fluff. Just some low-key, measured and effective actions, and more sanctions. Hopefully, even our EC "allies" like the French will join the sanctions.
Who knows, if we stand united, the Chinese political system will correct itself and Xi, and come to terms with the new trade deal we're offering. Wouldn't hurt to investigate Chinese investments and assets or outlays in the US to see if they are systematically trying to influence our politics....oh wait.... they are. No secret there. Time to shame the stupids who are going along on that.