Imagine if the Lakers end the 26/27 season with the best record of teams that don't make the playoffs so they go into the lottery at #14. Then they win one of the top four picks in the lottery, so they keep their 1-4 pick in the first round and we get #44 in the second round. People have falsely said it is guaranteed to be #5-34, but that is not true. When your first round pick moves up in the lottery, your second round pick does not so we simply know it will be #5-44. That could be a really nice pick in the 5-*10 range, but it has a much higher chance of actually not being very good at all.