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Game Thread Nov 02, 2025 04:00PM MT: Utah Jazz @ Charlotte Hornets

Added to Calendar: 11-02-25

Let me summarize where things stand at the moment.

Six games in, the Jazz are 2-4, tied for the third-worst record in the league.

The Jazz tanked hard in 2024-25 to land a top draft pick, securing the worst record in the league with a paltry 17 wins compared to 65 losses. They were disappointed to fall to #5 in the draft (adios Cooper Flagg) but were thrilled to take Ace Bailey at #5, touting him as a multi-skilled player with legitimate potential to be the next Jazz superstar.

Six games in, Ace has been relegated to the bench in favor of an NBA journeyman whom no one sees as a future Jazz building block, averaging a scant 15 minutes per game. In comparison, all rookies picked before and many picked after him are logging significant minutes, playing key roles, and finding ways to contribute. Ace is, so far, trending to be our 2020s version of Deron Williams, whom Jerry Sloan pigheadedly relegated to the bench, citing silly “old school” mantras to justify it, in favor of no better than replacement-level NBA journeymen. He’s got to be looking around at the rest of the rookie class by now and asking himself, “What the fetch?” It’s absolutely got to be playing with his head, regardless of whatever public pronouncements he, Hardy, the FO, or Jazz media make to play it down.

We tanked for this??? My God, what an anticlimactic letdown that has turned out to be.

The narrative pushed by the Jazz FO and media talking heads all off-season to get the fans excited about the upcoming season and the future was that, yes, the Jazz will be bad, but they will be bad in the service of developing the youngsters and making decisions about who is in the Jazz’s long-term plans. Six games into the season, Hardy has blown up this narrative, benching the youth (with exceptions) and is now giving veteran trade detritus minutes in their place. Why? These moves have the distinct stench of panic.

Why the panic? Another narrative the Jazz FO and media have shoveled to fans over the last few years is how Will Hardy is some genius wonderkind of a coach and how lucky we are to have him. One might be excused for asking just what evidence is there for this unqualified confidence in Hardy’s genius. What has he done to earn it? Well, nothing, really, except to lose. Granted, the excess of losses can be attributed to a large extent to the FO, which blew up a perennial playoff team and then continued to divest the team of quality NBA veterans, inventing phantom injuries to sit other veterans so as to perform as poorly as possible. Ok, fair enough.

But losing is one thing, but losing while posting historically bad defenses is another. With the collection of young talent that he has been tasked to develop, where’s the evidence that Hardy has done an even moderately good job of it? That he is now benching these youngsters six games into the season, when this year was supposed to be all about “development,” indicates that even he doesn’t think he’s done a good job of it.

Hence, the source of the panic. Hardy is beginning to feel the heat. He has little to show for his three years at the Jazz’s helm. He naturally feels increasingly under pressure to start delivering results, whether to stave off FO dissatisfaction or for the very real and legitimate fear that his coaching career, and the league’s perception of him, is becoming ever more tainted by the stench of losing. One look no further than Brett Brown to see how this plays out, a cautionary tale that I’m sure Hardy is familiar with. And, regardless of how the Jazz FO states public support for Hardy, it’s entirely understandable and expected that things are getting tense behind the scenes. To assume that Hardy’s job is secure, notwithstanding anything the Jazz FO or media say, runs entirely contrary to lived experience.

Hardy has got to be feeling the heat, evidenced by the fact that it took him only six games to abandon the development narrative for this season.

Added to this, I’m not convinced by Hardy’s public excorciating of his team’s “effort.” I find that effort becomes a catch-all excuse that coaches use to shift blame and escape accountability. As sure as the sun will rise tomorrow, a coach riding the tide of losing and poor performance will blame it on the lack of effort by his players.

At the same time, the Jazz youth have to be entirely aware of what is expected of them on the defensive end. What is it about, say Filipowski or Sensebaugh, that would lead someone to conclude that they aren’t legitimately trying, each having been told, heard, and read ad nauseam that their place in this league will depend on their defensive effort? I’ve seen nothing from them to indicate that they possess the personality (a la DeAndre Ayton) that they just don’t care. I have a hard time buying into the “effort” explanation; it’s a far too convenient and too common dodge to take it at face value.

I expect that I’m like many here and among Jazz fans generally who came into this season resigned to the prospect of losing–a lot–but willing to endure it one more year to put the final touches on our 3-4 year development efforts and letting the youth work through their issues, struggle, fail occasionally, and hopefully come out the other side better for it so we have clarity about who’s a burgeoning core we can build around and what their roles are. Instead, we’ve a steady diet of Svi Mykhailiuk, the benching and marginalization of the very reason why we tanked in the first place, a coach panicking and working overtime to cover his backside, and the abandonment of the great development narrative forcefed to fans for going on three years, a mere six games into the season.

God, ain’t tanking fun?

On the other side, it is only six games. Things can and will hopefully change. But, boy oh boy, things are off to a very rough start.
 
Hardy has got to be the safest coach in the league. It's already an ongoing joke in national media that all he ever does is get extended. There is zero heat on him.

Can't wait until November 2028, when Ace and Nate Ament are still two of the worst defensive players in the NBA somehow and Will and Austin get another 4 year extension.
 
I don't want to make this about a direct Ace comparison because Ace is a baby.....but the idea that Kon had no place among the 3-7 prospects was insane.
Kinda reminds me of that Kevin Love/OJ Mayo draft. Everyone preferred Mayo because Love was more developed coming out of college and supposedly had the shorter ceiling. Not comparing Ace to Mayo but it's a similar thought process where fans want the guy who supposedly has the higher ceiling even if the chances of him actually reaching it are very slim.
 
Kinda reminds me of that Kevin Love/OJ Mayo draft. Everyone preferred Mayo because Love was more developed coming out of college and supposedly had the shorter ceiling. Not comparing Ace to Mayo but it's a similar thought process where fans want the guy who supposedly has the higher ceiling even if the chances of him actually reaching it are very slim.

Hmm, ehh, that was a very weird class. OJ was a very unique prospect in that he broke out in HS exactly when people were looking for the next LeBron, but he kind of only dominated high school because he was a lot older than his competition. OJ had a massive amount of high school hype that propelled him to 3. Ace's high school hype obviously helped him a great deal as well after his bad season at Rutgers, but him vs. Kon was more about how while Ace was a bad defender in college, he has great defensive tools whereas Kon's defensive tools are... bad.

Westbrook vs. Love was more the upside vs. lack of upside debate and both obviously worked out.

(Speaking of 2008, Michael Beasley statistically is probably the greatest prospect of all time other than Cooper Flagg, it's unreal how badly he failed in the NBA)
 
I don't want to make this about a direct Ace comparison because Ace is a baby.....but the idea that Kon had no place among the 3-7 prospects was insane.
Totally fine with how things turned out. This is not me pining for him, but yeah... this!
 
Let me summarize where things stand at the moment.

Six games in, the Jazz are 2-4, tied for the third-worst record in the league.

The Jazz tanked hard in 2024-25 to land a top draft pick, securing the worst record in the league with a paltry 17 wins compared to 65 losses. They were disappointed to fall to #5 in the draft (adios Cooper Flagg) but were thrilled to take Ace Bailey at #5, touting him as a multi-skilled player with legitimate potential to be the next Jazz superstar.

Six games in, Ace has been relegated to the bench in favor of an NBA journeyman whom no one sees as a future Jazz building block, averaging a scant 15 minutes per game. In comparison, all rookies picked before and many picked after him are logging significant minutes, playing key roles, and finding ways to contribute. Ace is, so far, trending to be our 2020s version of Deron Williams, whom Jerry Sloan pigheadedly relegated to the bench, citing silly “old school” mantras to justify it, in favor of no better than replacement-level NBA journeymen. He’s got to be looking around at the rest of the rookie class by now and asking himself, “What the fetch?” It’s absolutely got to be playing with his head, regardless of whatever public pronouncements he, Hardy, the FO, or Jazz media make to play it down.

We tanked for this??? My God, what an anticlimactic letdown that has turned out to be.

The narrative pushed by the Jazz FO and media talking heads all off-season to get the fans excited about the upcoming season and the future was that, yes, the Jazz will be bad, but they will be bad in the service of developing the youngsters and making decisions about who is in the Jazz’s long-term plans. Six games into the season, Hardy has blown up this narrative, benching the youth (with exceptions) and is now giving veteran trade detritus minutes in their place. Why? These moves have the distinct stench of panic.

Why the panic? Another narrative the Jazz FO and media have shoveled to fans over the last few years is how Will Hardy is some genius wonderkind of a coach and how lucky we are to have him. One might be excused for asking just what evidence is there for this unqualified confidence in Hardy’s genius. What has he done to earn it? Well, nothing, really, except to lose. Granted, the excess of losses can be attributed to a large extent to the FO, which blew up a perennial playoff team and then continued to divest the team of quality NBA veterans, inventing phantom injuries to sit other veterans so as to perform as poorly as possible. Ok, fair enough.

But losing is one thing, but losing while posting historically bad defenses is another. With the collection of young talent that he has been tasked to develop, where’s the evidence that Hardy has done an even moderately good job of it? That he is now benching these youngsters six games into the season, when this year was supposed to be all about “development,” indicates that even he doesn’t think he’s done a good job of it.

Hence, the source of the panic. Hardy is beginning to feel the heat. He has little to show for his three years at the Jazz’s helm. He naturally feels increasingly under pressure to start delivering results, whether to stave off FO dissatisfaction or for the very real and legitimate fear that his coaching career, and the league’s perception of him, is becoming ever more tainted by the stench of losing. One look no further than Brett Brown to see how this plays out, a cautionary tale that I’m sure Hardy is familiar with. And, regardless of how the Jazz FO states public support for Hardy, it’s entirely understandable and expected that things are getting tense behind the scenes. To assume that Hardy’s job is secure, notwithstanding anything the Jazz FO or media say, runs entirely contrary to lived experience.

Hardy has got to be feeling the heat, evidenced by the fact that it took him only six games to abandon the development narrative for this season.

Added to this, I’m not convinced by Hardy’s public excorciating of his team’s “effort.” I find that effort becomes a catch-all excuse that coaches use to shift blame and escape accountability. As sure as the sun will rise tomorrow, a coach riding the tide of losing and poor performance will blame it on the lack of effort by his players.

At the same time, the Jazz youth have to be entirely aware of what is expected of them on the defensive end. What is it about, say Filipowski or Sensebaugh, that would lead someone to conclude that they aren’t legitimately trying, each having been told, heard, and read ad nauseam that their place in this league will depend on their defensive effort? I’ve seen nothing from them to indicate that they possess the personality (a la DeAndre Ayton) that they just don’t care. I have a hard time buying into the “effort” explanation; it’s a far too convenient and too common dodge to take it at face value.

I expect that I’m like many here and among Jazz fans generally who came into this season resigned to the prospect of losing–a lot–but willing to endure it one more year to put the final touches on our 3-4 year development efforts and letting the youth work through their issues, struggle, fail occasionally, and hopefully come out the other side better for it so we have clarity about who’s a burgeoning core we can build around and what their roles are. Instead, we’ve a steady diet of Svi Mykhailiuk, the benching and marginalization of the very reason why we tanked in the first place, a coach panicking and working overtime to cover his backside, and the abandonment of the great development narrative forcefed to fans for going on three years, a mere six games into the season.

God, ain’t tanking fun?

On the other side, it is only six games. Things can and will hopefully change. But, boy oh boy, things are off to a very rough start.
Very well stated. The amount of smoke the organization tries to blow up our asses about defense versus how much is actually played is staggering. There is a serious disconnect here and I'm of the opinion the problem runs top to bottom.
 
As far as potential/upside convos go, I think we should be open to adjusting our understanding of what that means. At the very least, we need to accept that ceiling/potential isn't this concrete thing that you can just know.

I've been trying to look at pathways to different outcomes instead of boxing guys into floor/ceiling. IMO, that's better than the traditional way of doing things which is more or less length+athleticism+ppg=potential.
 
As far as potential/upside convos go, I think we should be open to adjusting our understanding of what that means. At the very least, we need to accept that ceiling/potential isn't this concrete thing that you can just know.

I've been trying to look at pathways to different outcomes instead of boxing guys into floor/ceiling. IMO, that's better than the traditional way of doing things which is more or less length+athleticism+ppg=potential.

I mean, the Jazz have tried potential upside swings with unathletic players A LOT in this era with Keyonte, Brice, Cody, Collier, and Filipowski. All swinging on upside based on their shot creation.

Ace is the first player since Hendricks to legitimately have good tools that they drafted.

(the fact that all of guys have pretty awful tools other than Ace and Markkanen is probably one reason why we're so bad defensively)
 
Charlotte made 18 3s, and roughly half of their shot attempts were 3PAs. The NBA has become a 3pt shooting league, with just enough play action and driving to create open looks on the perimeter.
 
I mean, the Jazz have tried potential upside swings with unathletic players A LOT in this era with Keyonte, Brice, Cody, Collier, and Filipowski. All swinging on upside based on their shot creation.

Ace is the first player since Hendricks to legitimately have good tools that they drafted.

(the fact that all of guys have pretty awful tools other than Ace and Markkanen is probably one reason why we're so bad defensively)

Well, every prospect is an upside play based on their shot creation to some extent. It’s not like all of those players listed are similar. You’re using “upside swing” really loosely here.

The point is that you can’t box a guy into a floor/ceiling and that the traditional youth/length/athleticism measures of potential don’t really tell the whole story. There are some athletic freaks that develop all the skills once they get into the NBA, but that’s not everyone who hits on a high outcome and I don’t think it’s even the most common.
 
Well, every prospect is an upside play based on their shot creation to some extent. It’s not like all of those players listed are similar. You’re using “upside swing” really loosely here.

The point is that you can’t box a guy into a floor/ceiling and that the traditional youth/length/athleticism measures of potential don’t really tell the whole story. There are some athletic freaks that develop all the skills once they get into the NBA, but that’s not everyone who hits on a high outcome and I don’t think it’s even the most common.

I think all five of those guys were drafted pretty high based on shot creation potential despite their lack of tools as shot creation is the most valuable skill. That's what I'm saying to be clear.
 
I don’t know how to tell the cowards that this outcome is awesome.

One more year of this bull ****… pretty sure.

The universally good news: Lauri putting up crazy numbers and Keyonte’s leap looks real.
This is the natural end to the tank. Next year having 3 picks and if we are play in good or just below... maybe the lotto gods smile upon us. Not expected to be a good draft in 2027.

Whether or not we land top 3 I think the tank is over and we go to trying to be okay... may or may not try to short cut it but we won't be sellers.
 
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