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2025-2026 Tank Race Prediction Contest and Current Results Thread

Saint Cy of JFC said:
I don't think Charlotte is any better or worse than Utah, but they have less incentive to lose and more to just develop and let the chips fall where they may.

But all their main guys outside of Kon are extremely injury prone, so they could just fall apart at any moment.
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When they have Kon/Ball/Miller they are really pretty decent. But yes... two legs of that trio struggle to stay on the court. I think they may have a little run in them that gives us some breathing room while they are healthy.
 
On paper we’re significantly worse than the teams directly behind us. We’re 12-23, but it’s a 12-23 held up by great clutch performance. The game isn’t played on paper but that’s why models are predicting LAC, CHO, and DAL to be comfortably behind us.

Things can change with injuries/teams going up…but I think LAC, CHO, and DAL are more likely than us to play it through to the end.
 
Tremendous Upside said:
The Pelicans, losers of 7 games in a row (soon 8 once the Lakers are done kicking them in the teeth).

They're not going to magically recover from this tail spin.
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Feb and march they have like 9 games against teams that will be actively trying to lose. 3 head to head with us. We go 0-3 and it makes up the gap bascially. I think its less than 50% chance but it isn't crazy since they have no incentive to lose and other teams will. The players may be apathetic but the coach is on a trial run.
 
Handlogten's Heros said:
Feb and march they have like 9 games against teams that will be actively trying to lose. 3 head to head with us. We go 0-3 and it makes up the gap bascially. I think its less than 50% chance but it isn't crazy since they have no incentive to lose and other teams will. The players may be apathetic but the coach is on a trial run.
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I was just looking this up and post all star break they have 7 games against teams that will be trying to lose games.

3 vs UTA, 2 vs SAC, WAS, DAL

They also play LAC 3 times + who knows who will be resting players in some of the other games.

I think they can win 9 games post all star break just by not trying to lose. If we can be within 4-5 games of them pre all star break, and lose all 3 matchups against them, I think we have a decent chance at catching them.
 
Would not rule out a Trae Young run from the Wizards. He's not who he was, but he's better than CJ McCollum in terms of carrying a bad team. It's unlikely that the Jazz pass up any of the 5 teams on an individual basis, but if you took all the probability of passing just one of them I think there's a chance.

I am, however, giving up on IND or SAC making a run. It's like they have street cred for never tanking hard so they can just do as they please.
 
KqWIN said:
Would not rule out a Trae Young run from the Wizards. He's not who he was, but he's better than CJ McCollum in terms of carrying a bad team. It's unlikely that the Jazz pass up any of the 5 teams on an individual basis, but if you took all the probability of passing just one of them I think there's a chance.

I am, however, giving up on IND or SAC making a run. It's like they have street cred for never tanking hard so they can just do as they please.
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in all the head to head tanker matchups I will be rooting for whoever Ind and Sac play. I think they are out of reach. Not fully convince Wiz get Trae. I think it will cost the other first that Atlanta owns this year (its like 17 rn) and I wonder if they just wait. They must have real plans for their cap space if they are that motivated. In the summer I could see maybe a couple other suitors.

If the price is that low I wonder who else comes calling.
 
Handlogten's Heros said:
in all the head to head tanker matchups I will be rooting for whoever Ind and Sac play. I think they are out of reach. Not fully convince Wiz get Trae. I think it will cost the other first that Atlanta owns this year (its like 17 rn) and I wonder if they just wait. They must have real plans for their cap space if they are that motivated. In the summer I could see maybe a couple other suitors.

If the price is that low I wonder who else comes calling.
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I've seen neutral parties say either side needs to send incentive. I actually think it's a pretty fair deal across. Just depends on how much WAS wants to preserve their tank and how much ATL wants to get rid of Trae (for cap space or bc he's annoying).
 
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