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2025-2026 Tank Race Prediction Contest and Current Results Thread

Hornets completely dominating the Thunder.
Up 26 in the 4th on the road, what the hell. I know OKC has been slumping in the last 10, but still.

The Jazz will be moving 6th worst with the hornets win (at least momentarily depending on the trailblazers game)
 
Looks like Dallas. Man if Washington trades for Trae young that would be sweet
If Washington trades for Trae, I hope the Jazz social media team gives us a livestream of Ace following Danny and Austin around saying, “Thank you” over and over again.
 
All projection models seem to have it as a 6 way race to the bottom, I tend to agree. LAC, DAL, and CHO seem to be better teams trending in a different direction.

I think 6th is reasonable. A lot of the models are expecting BKN to be a tad better than us, but they don't account for tank shenanigans or future trades.
 
All projection models seem to have it as a 6 way race to the bottom, I tend to agree. LAC, DAL, and CHO seem to be better teams trending in a different direction.

I think 6th is reasonable. A lot of the models are expecting BKN to be a tad better than us, but they don't account for tank shenanigans or future trades.
I think 6th is where we land but I didn't want to get there by the skin of our teeth. Cho likely doesn't put the brakes on. Dallas I still think its AD dependent which is scary. They also have a tough schedule.

Our 3 head to head matchups with Dallas may be what determines this. Still and outside shot at catching Brooklyn maybe but they don't have any league attention for their tanking efforts and we somehow do. So they may be in a better position to pull the plug all the way.
 
Watched the following podcast featuring a U. of Utah professor thinking it might obliquely provide some insight into NBA tanking culture. And while I think there are some things that may potentially apply to tanking (though the subject is never directly broached) , I ended up being enriched by this guy's ideas more generally about the role of games in our lives.

 
Dallas in 9-9 when AD plays. Health and trade stuff is what determines where Dallas ends up.
 
I don't think Charlotte is any better or worse than Utah, but they have less incentive to lose and more to just develop and let the chips fall where they may.

But all their main guys outside of Kon are extremely injury prone, so they could just fall apart at any moment.
 
I don't think Charlotte is any better or worse than Utah, but they have less incentive to lose and more to just develop and let the chips fall where they may.

But all their main guys outside of Kon are extremely injury prone, so they could just fall apart at any moment.
When they have Kon/Ball/Miller they are really pretty decent. But yes... two legs of that trio struggle to stay on the court. I think they may have a little run in them that gives us some breathing room while they are healthy.
 
On paper we’re significantly worse than the teams directly behind us. We’re 12-23, but it’s a 12-23 held up by great clutch performance. The game isn’t played on paper but that’s why models are predicting LAC, CHO, and DAL to be comfortably behind us.

Things can change with injuries/teams going up…but I think LAC, CHO, and DAL are more likely than us to play it through to the end.
 
The Pelicans, losers of 7 games in a row (soon 8 once the Lakers are done kicking them in the teeth).

They're not going to magically recover from this tail spin.
Feb and march they have like 9 games against teams that will be actively trying to lose. 3 head to head with us. We go 0-3 and it makes up the gap bascially. I think its less than 50% chance but it isn't crazy since they have no incentive to lose and other teams will. The players may be apathetic but the coach is on a trial run.
 
Feb and march they have like 9 games against teams that will be actively trying to lose. 3 head to head with us. We go 0-3 and it makes up the gap bascially. I think its less than 50% chance but it isn't crazy since they have no incentive to lose and other teams will. The players may be apathetic but the coach is on a trial run.

I was just looking this up and post all star break they have 7 games against teams that will be trying to lose games.

3 vs UTA, 2 vs SAC, WAS, DAL

They also play LAC 3 times + who knows who will be resting players in some of the other games.

I think they can win 9 games post all star break just by not trying to lose. If we can be within 4-5 games of them pre all star break, and lose all 3 matchups against them, I think we have a decent chance at catching them.
 
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