So with all the public health measures being taken, I have to revise my projections for the course of the CoViD-19 2020 event in the USA.
Of course, Iran is still going to be savaged by the outbreak, as well as North Kores, and while the subtropics and tropics have very little in the way of health care competency or materials for the flu/Coronavirus sort of thing, the heat helps, as does the sun. Europe is already "gone viral" and will have a serious event. Russia could stop it with public health measures like ours.
I compare CoViD-19 with H1N1 of 2009. T previous thought c20 would be worse, generating maybe 20,000 deaths in the USA. But all the public health measures will flatten the incidence curve, and make it possible to treat serious cases better, and will also mean not everyone will be exposed this year. It might mean more cases next year when the flu/congestion season revives though.
As it looks to me now, the less-serious track for younger folks, under 30 maybe even under 60, is likely due to some residual immunity in those populations from H1N1 and other Corona virus exposures, vaccinations, etc due to "crossover immunity" thanks to some shared common surface antigens between viral species. Therefore, I suggest that folks go out and get what vacinations are available in the genre. Small expense, possible large benefits.
If anyone in authority would listen to me regarding the installation of uv lights over heavy traffic areas or common-use areas like bathrooms, and implement other air-detoxifying resources like light ozone or chlorine or other oxidizing vapors, and install such things in care centers.... or if oldsters would install such measures at home, in their bathrooms, kitchens, bedrooms, it'd save lives as well.
As things look now, I am hopeful the c20 event will top out in June, and be over in August, with a wimpish reboot in November-December, totally only about 5000 US deaths, 90% over 60 years old.
Worldwide, maybe 100,000 in China, if you can believe anything they tell us. One of Xi's concentration camps could do that and more.....
It could be a million or more world-wide.
And I think Trump will be strutting his stuff come election time, and the DumpTrumpsters will not be talking about it at all.
I said it would be "well-managed". I have become aware of the planning that has gone on for over two decades for gov response to such a crisis. I said it wouldn't have mattered if Hillary were Pres, or Biden, or Rosa Parks for that matter. All Trump is doing is playing talking head for the bureaucrat experts following the damn plan. And those folks don't listen to me at all.
So the entire value of my pontifications in JFC would be in case anyone in here listened and applied any of the personal protection, space sanitizing ideas I've posted.....