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If Lottery Rigging Exist, Aren't the Jazz Safe?

Laws of average suggest that eventually these kind of strikes of luck should follow small markets too, like they do come to the Lakers of the league. Some think it will happen. Some also still think there was nothing sus in 9/11.
 
HermanG said:
Do a more simple assessment used daily in business world: Risk assessment.

If I succceed, I can theoretically gain lorn term benefit through a very complex earning model.

If I fail, I lose all credibility, league loses billions of revenue, I personally get fired and eternally haunted by media and me and the office ptobably have to fight multiple lawsuits (against owners, sponsors and everyone who rides the high horse and has a chance to gain money) for fraudlent activities.

Which one you choose?
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Exactly, you're seeing it now! They would lose billions if they back the wrong horse. Magic Johnson in Utah? Financial ruin. Magic in LA? Billions. Wemby in Utah? Afterthought until they can get him on a "real" team. Wemby in SA? Revive a storied franchise with a feel-good story and make billions more in TV revenue.

I mean the league has already found out the money depends way more on franchise loyalty and popularity and is hardly affected at all by scandal, so why should they care about another scandal? It adds intrigue and fans still spend their money. Just like Trump is finding out building his authoritarian empire, boil the frog and people will just take it. The league already found this out. So the strongest lever they have to pull is making sure the right franchises are successful to keep the money rolling in, and hey, if a Utah happens to hit on a few later picks, all the better. But it does them no good for Utah to get the generational players any other way.
 
LogGrad98 said:
I mean the league has already found out the money depends way more on franchise loyalty and popularity and is hardly affected at all by scandal, so why should they care about another scandal? It adds intrigue and fans still spend their money.
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You can't be serious. If it actually turned out that the lottery is rigged – and had been rigged for decades – it wouldn't be a "scandal", it would be the end of the NBA. I can't even imagine the multibillion dollar lawsuits that would follow.
 
Tremendous Upside said:
You can't be serious. If it actually turned out that the lottery is rigged – and had been rigged for decades – it wouldn't be a "scandal", it would be the end of the NBA. I can't even imagine the multibillion dollar lawsuits that would follow.
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Lmao it would not be the end of the NBA. Did Tim Donahue end the NBA? They'd just sweep it under the rug and promise to do better.
 
Saint Cy of JFC said:
Lmao it would not be the end of the NBA. Did Tim Donahue end the NBA? They'd just sweep it under the rug and promise to do better.
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My man, you're equating one dirty ref to a decades-long conspiracy operated by the league office – a conspiracy where many multibillion dollar teams were straight up cheated out of a chance to get their hands on generational talent.

No sports organization comes back from that.
 
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Agent#00 said:
Looking more rigged lol

fadeawayworld.net

8 Times The NBA Lottery Has Looked Completely Rigged - Fadeaway World

The Dallas Mavericks' improbable win of the 2025 NBA Draft Lottery with just a 1.8% chance has reignited conspiracy theories about the lottery being rigged, and we have eight examples through history where it just might be.
fadeawayworld.net fadeawayworld.net
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Lol, low probability events happen ALL THE TIME. This includes random lotteries like the NBA and millions of other cases where low-probability outcomes, both trivial and significant, are determined by dumb, random luck.

While a 1% chance is “rare” for a single attempt, if this attempt is repeated, say, 100 times, we should expect it to happen roughly once, on average. The draft lottery is like that. Every year is another trial for low‑probability outcomes. There are multiple low‑probability teams each year, not just one. So instead of asking, “What are the odds this 1% team wins this year?” we should ask, “What are the odds that some 1–5% team wins at least a few times over 40+ lotteries?” That overall probability is quite large.

But why bother with simple, common-sense explanations like this when conspiracies are so much more entertaining and scratch the human itch to see hidden patterns and villains behind ordinary randomness?
 
Schrödinger's Gerbil said:
Lol, low probability events happen ALL THE TIME. This includes random lotteries like the NBA and millions of other cases where low-probability outcomes, both trivial and significant, are determined by dumb, random luck.

While a 1% chance is “rare” for a single attempt, if this attempt is repeated, say, 100 times, we should expect it to happen roughly once, on average. The draft lottery is like that. Every year is another trial for low‑probability outcomes. There are multiple low‑probability teams each year, not just one. So instead of asking, “What are the odds this 1% team wins this year?” we should ask, “What are the odds that some 1–5% team wins at least a few times over 40+ lotteries?” That overall probability is quite large.

But why bother with simple, common-sense explanations like this when conspiracies are so much more entertaining and scratch the human itch to see hidden patterns and villains behind ordinary randomness?
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That is just what the hidden villains want you to think.
 
Tremendous Upside said:
You can't be serious. If it actually turned out that the lottery is rigged – and had been rigged for decades – it wouldn't be a "scandal", it would be the end of the NBA. I can't even imagine the multibillion dollar lawsuits that would follow.
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You also forget the owners ultimately control the league. So if it's happening, they are fully aware and likely on board. So who would sue? And they all profit immensely off the gigantic broadcast deals so why would they upend the cart? And exactly what @Saint Cy of JFC said, ultimately it gets swept under the rug. Go back and look at how many lopsided deals have favored the big name teams. LA gets Luka for a damn near literal ham sandwich. Literally EVERY team in the league could have put together a deal like that, but it went to LA, then Dallas gets selected for #1 with 1% odds. Yeah, ok. More success for a flagging LA team, means more fans tune in to national games, means more money on the next TV deal. It's following the money on a league level. A few tweaks here and there keep the top earners competitive, keeps the money rolling in, which hits all franchises, so the owners are cool with whatever it takes to secure the best deals. The owners like the Buss' and Miller's and even Cubans are gone, replaced by billionaires and billionaires groups, no longer passion projects. Now it's billionaire hobbyists and prestige owners who care a lot more about the money. Hell Ryan has had no problem going on and on about his other billionaire hobbies and you rarely hear him say much about the jazz. They fed his other hobbies, so he's happy as long as the money flows. So are most of the other owners. Championships are nice, positive cashflows are better.
 
Schrödinger's Gerbil said:
Lol, low probability events happen ALL THE TIME. This includes random lotteries like the NBA and millions of other cases where low-probability outcomes, both trivial and significant, are determined by dumb, random luck.

While a 1% chance is “rare” for a single attempt, if this attempt is repeated, say, 100 times, we should expect it to happen roughly once, on average. The draft lottery is like that. Every year is another trial for low‑probability outcomes. There are multiple low‑probability teams each year, not just one. So instead of asking, “What are the odds this 1% team wins this year?” we should ask, “What are the odds that some 1–5% team wins at least a few times over 40+ lotteries?” That overall probability is quite large.

But why bother with simple, common-sense explanations like this when conspiracies are so much more entertaining and scratch the human itch to see hidden patterns and villains behind ordinary randomness?
Click to expand...
This guy gets it! It's way more fun!
 
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