2022 Playoff prediction thread

[silesian]

4-0. Home court doesn't matter
4-1. Home court doesn’t matter
4-2. Home court doesn’t matter (each team had 3 home games).
4-3. Home court matters

 

[silesian]

Teams that win the first 2 games at home win the series 93.5% of the time.

Teams that win the first game on the road win the series 50.5% of the time.

 

[infection]

Teams that win the first 2 games at home win the series 93.5% of the time.

Teams that win the first game on the road win the series 50.5% of the time.

An inherent bias in this, though. The team winning first game on the road was seeded lower. 4-5 matchups are often close record-wise, but in the three other matchups those disparities grow. Harder for a 6 seed to bump a 3, and successively harder in 2-7 and 1-8 matchups. I’d be curious what the numbers are in a 4-5.