2019 Prediction Contest Winner
Sensabaugh = Paul Pierce
He can score a bit like a young Paul Pierce, but he doesn't play defense or pass the ball much. The offensive talent is apparent though.
Sensabaugh = Paul Pierce
Again, you are super hung up on stuff I'm not even saying.
Again, NBA level. His athleticism/defense/slashing are not stand out at the NBA level. He's a good college player. These are not directly translatable things 100% of the time. At the end of the day he's too small and too reliant on the mid-range for a combo guard. If he can go back and prove he has better on ball creation abilities, specifically out of the PNR, and can increase the ratio of his shot profile to favor 3pt and the paint instead of mid-range/paint then has a shot at being a solid rotation player.
You are quoting things without context of what was actually meant. You keep bringing up what he did well in college when that's not what I'm talking about. I'm talking about projecting.I’m quoting exact things that you are saying. I believe those things make him stand out as a prospect. You can agree to disagree, but some things are just factual. The mid range thing is factual. The athleticism, defense, and slashing are subjective….but I haven’t seen a single person question those besides yourself. His defensive and finishing numbers are great compared to the rest of the field. Very few prospects are going to walk into the NBA with a host of NBA ready skills. I think Bailey is ready to contribute right away with his defense and offense in transition. We’ll see how the shooting comes along and that will be very important going forward. But first and foremost, he will be reliant on his defense and ability to finish around the basket. He isn’t going to be a 25 usage player at the next level. He will probably be closer to 15. I’m not concerned about his mid range game because I don’t envision him using that much if at all in the NBA. That’s not what his role will be.
Unfortunately there won't be an idiot GM such as Vlade Divac who will be sitting at #2. There are several bad teams incl Orlando, Spurs, Houston, Wizards that are in desperate need of a lead guard. Fairly good chance a few of them land in the top 4.If people sour on Scoot and it becomes a situation like when Luka fell to three, we should definitely have some kind of huge offer ready to go.
You are quoting things without context of what was actually meant. You keep bringing up what he did well in college when that's not what I'm talking about. I'm talking about projecting.
And you seem to be completely unaware of modern shot distribution.
I think the potential for Coach Hardy to mold him into that player is actually pretty good. I’d be very interested in him with the Jazz 2nd pick - wherever that lands.He has star potential. He needs to cut out the wild **** and play with his teammates, but if he does I don't think his floor is low.
1. No, I'm saying he is reliant on his mid-range jumper in college and that does not bode well for his NBA prospects.1. So you're saying he will be a mid range scorer in the NBA? That's what his role will be? If you see him through that lens it's understandable why you think he's not a good prospect.
I do not see that at all. I see him much more of a connector type on offense. He will not be a mid range scorer, he will be a defense first guy who has like 15% usage. Compared to other prospects his defense and athleticism stands out. If there's one part of his game that won't be a part of his pro game, it's very obviously his mid range IMO.
You seem to be completely unaware of the the word "mostly" and the fact that Bailey's attempts at the rim are way higher compared to other guards than his mid range is compared to other guards. Even compared to NBA the proportion of his attempts at the rim are +20% above league average (for all players not just guards). His mid range proportion is slightly lower than the NBA league average. These are hard facts. Did you know this is the modern shot distribution? I'm guessing you did not because you think a third of your shots from mid range means you're a mid range scorer, when in reality that is the amount the NBA players are shooting. If Amari Bailey is a mid range scorer, than the NBA as a whole is a mid range scoring league.
Kqwin thinks a mediocre current prospect should be considered on the same level as Kobe Bufkin. I do not.Can someone summarize the argument going on. A lot of text that I don’t feel like reading.
1. No, I'm saying he is reliant on his mid-range jumper in college and that does not bode well for his NBA prospects.
2. Modern NBA shot distribution is not 1/3rd mid-range shots.