I think the league is going to reward the Jazz for being good citizens this year and get them in the top 4. The Jazz didn't egregiously tank, they helped the Lakers and Twolves with trades, and they gave their all during the All Star weekend. I think a big-market team in the Eastern Conference will get Wembanyama (Chicago or Washington). The Hornets will move up in the draft, but not get #1, and the Jazz will round out the top 4, either with San Antonio or Indiana. Detroit, Houston and Orlando won't get rewarded this year, since they've been in the top 4 already in recent years.
So draft order: 1) Chicago/Washington, 2) Charlotte, 3) Indiana/San Antonio, 4) Utah. Jazz will draft a Thompson.