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2024-25 Schedule Released

Last season 25 wins resulted in the 6th and 7th best lottery odds. That was in a year of a bad draft. This year's draft is projected to be one of the best: 25 wins can easily be a ticket to the 9th best odds.

That's not really how it works. The more teams that are tanking, the more wins are possible for the bad teams. In the Wemby draft, for example, 25 wins would have been the 4th best odds.

25 wins could certainly give us worse than 5th best odds, but I'm not sure there has ever been a draft where it resulted in the 9th best odds or worse.
 
That's not really how it works. The more teams that are tanking, the more wins are possible for the bad teams. In the Wemby draft, for example, 25 wins would have been the 4th best odds.

25 wins could certainly give us worse than 5th best odds, but I'm not sure there has ever been a draft where it resulted in the 9th best odds or worse.

25 wins leading to 9th best lottery odds has never happened (except for shortened seasons). Like you said, there also doesn't seem to be a correlation between draft strength and wins....adding to your Wemby draft example, the last draft that had this amount of hype was probably the 2014 draft. 25 wins would have also gotten you tied for 4th.

Having said that, I don't actually think the number of teams hardcore tanking is abnormally high or anything this year. In the West, it's really just us and Portland. In the East, many of these teams that are expected to be very bad might be in the play in race and they will have to play each other. I think what we will see are teams who you would expect to be in the playoff race quit early and become tankers.
 
25 wins leading to 9th best lottery odds has never happened (except for shortened seasons). Like you said, there also doesn't seem to be a correlation between draft strength and wins....adding to your Wemby draft example, the last draft that had this amount of hype was probably the 2014 draft. 25 wins would have also gotten you tied for 4th.

Having said that, I don't actually think the number of teams hardcore tanking is abnormally high or anything this year. In the West, it's really just us and Portland. In the East, many of these teams that are expected to be very bad might be in the play in race and they will have to play each other. I think what we will see are teams who you would expect to be in the playoff race quit early and become tankers.
I expect Charlotte to tank. They should anyway. They still dont have The Guy on that roster imo.

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I think this schedule is favourable to the tanking but its not really about the start. I think the first 9 games arent as tough as you'd hope.

However our first 46 games include just 20 home games vs 26 road games and after that the shenanigans may be in use to ruin the backend of it, which also contains our two longest home stretches of 6 and 8 (both coming post trade DL).
 
I expect Charlotte to tank. They should anyway. They still dont have The Guy on that roster imo.

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That’s the thing though. Unless there is some unnatural break between teams 9-11 there will be a few teams in the play in mix and they could be one. A few teams will be seduce by chasing the 10th seed and not pulling the plug. If Charlotte gets a healthy Ball they have Ball bridges miller and a few decent role players. That’s enough in the East.
 
That’s the thing though. Unless there is some unnatural break between teams 9-11 there will be a few teams in the play in mix and they could be one. A few teams will be seduce by chasing the 10th seed and not pulling the plug. If Charlotte gets a healthy Ball they have Ball bridges miller and a few decent role players. That’s enough in the East.

I can totally see how CHO ends up bad and very tanky again, but as long as Ball is healthy they can probably be a play in team. They were a play in team during Ball's first two seasons and fell out of it because he was injured. He's a real impact player when healthy. They aren't very deep....but the East being complete trash could help them get a play in spot. I'm keeping a close eye on them as a Sexton destination.
 
I expect Charlotte to tank. They should anyway. They still dont have The Guy on that roster imo.

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LaMelo is likely that guy if he can stay healthy. They shouldnt tank if he's healthy. I doubt they will win all that much, but I dont think they should be trying to lose out (unless they get to a point in the season where it's clear). They need to find out if they should invest in a LaMelo centric team.
 
That’s the thing though. Unless there is some unnatural break between teams 9-11 there will be a few teams in the play in mix and they could be one. A few teams will be seduce by chasing the 10th seed and not pulling the plug. If Charlotte gets a healthy Ball they have Ball bridges miller and a few decent role players. That’s enough in the East.
I was thinking they were in the West so I was wrong anyways (the post I was responding to was talking about the blazers being our only tank comp in the West)

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