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Carroll Could Cost Us Wiggins

GVC said:
The worst pick the bottom team can "win" in the lottery is #4 (only the top 3 picks are drawn; the remaining picks follow the standings).
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Which means the team with the worst record is guaranteed one of Wiggins, Jabari, Randle, and Harrison (though, the top four could obviously change over the course of the year).
 
I know it sounds like sour grapes. Maybe it is, a little.. but I am no longer convinced Wiggins is a lock for #1.
 
PKM said:
I know it sounds like sour grapes. Maybe it is, a little.. but I am no longer convinced Wiggins is a lock for #1.
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well obviously, because if the bobcats get the pick they'd have to find some way to blow it.
 
GVC said:
The worst pick the bottom team can "win" in the lottery is #4 (only the top 3 picks are drawn; the remaining picks follow the standings).
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My bad, I was actually thinking about two things to put down and then biffed the post. What I was going to originally ask is how many times has a team originally in the top-3 ended up without a top-5 pick? It's rare for three teams to jump ahead of the original three. In fact, I think there's only a 4% chance of that happening. And as you mentioned, there's a 0% chance the worst team ends up with anything less than the 4th overall pick. I don't see the Jazz being the worst team in the league; the Core4 is too strong for that. But who knows, an injury or two, a terrible bench...you just never know. In any case, maybe the Jazz have another pre-Deron season and end up drafting a superstar.
 
Core4 said:
What I was going to originally ask is how many times has a team originally in the top-3 ended up without a top-5 pick? It's rare for three teams to jump ahead of the original three. In fact, I think there's only a 4% chance of that happening.
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1. The only team in the top-3 that can end up out of the top 5 is the third worst team. Don't care to look up how many times (if any) that's happened.

2. Yeah, I just ran the numbers, and 4% seems right for the chance the bottom three all miss out on the top 3 picks (4.0265935394218% if I've done everything correctly).
 
I think the Jazz will suck whether they sign junk yard dog or not. I don't think it will make much of a difference at all for the lotto.

Kanter or Hayward will be responsible for that. Or if the FO gets smart and fires Ty early on and gets a real coach.
 
The Thriller said:
I think the Jazz will suck whether they sign junk yard dog or not. I don't think it will make much of a difference at all for the lotto.

Kanter or Hayward will be responsible for that. Or if the FO gets smart and fires Ty early on and gets a real coach.
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I'm not ready to give up on Ty. Let's see what he does with a full season and training camp.

Oh...right.........
 
Kanter or Hayward are the reason why we will or will not get get a top pick. Not some decent bench player.
 
PKM said:
I know it sounds like sour grapes. Maybe it is, a little.. but I am no longer convinced Wiggins is a lock for #1.
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Are you thinking Harrison could go #1 overall?

Wiggins right now is a lock imo. Too much hype for a team to pass. A fan base would kill a gm if he passes.
 
PKM lets change this up a little bit. If you were the Jazz GM and could draft anyone from next year's draft today, who would it be?
 
Revolution 9 said:
Are you thinking Harrison could go #1 overall?

Wiggins right now is a lock imo. Too much hype for a team to pass. A fan base would kill a gm if he passes.
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I basically agree. My statement was meant as a stretch.. but to answer your question...
With it being a long time between now and the next NCAA tourney, a lot of momentum can change. I could see Randle, Parker, or Andrew Harrison all with a chance to overtake the #1 spot. But like I said, at this point it's a stretch.
Revolution 9 said:
PKM lets change this up a little bit. If you were the Jazz GM and could draft anyone from next year's draft today, who would it be?
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Wiggins
Randle
Parker
An Harrison
 
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