Well Howard, welcome! And if you're someone's alt, welcome just the same.
I think teams at the top of the draft are looking for talent that can't be gotten any other way, but through the draft.
I'm questioning whether guys like Johnson or Winslow are really different and better than talent that's available later in the draft and around the league. For example, are these guys really better than James Young who went mid-1st round last year? Or Harrison Barnes, who has been disappointing. Or even a role player like Demarre Carroll or James Johnson?
I'm not saying these guys don't have value. But why should they get drafted ahead of guys like Porzingis, Turner, Hezonja and others who have elite potential? How much room do they really have to improve if the quickness, explosiveness and shooting touch aren't there?
So I could see Johnson dropping to the 8-10 range and Winslow going late lottery.
I get what you're saying, but then again you know what you're gonna get from guys like Johnson and Winslow. Porzingis and Turner are definitely high risk / high reward type picks.