Following Potential 2025 Draftees

[SoberasHotRod]

Im sure they are mean to project their career %, not rookie year. It would be more interesting to look back at someone they projected 6 year ago.

Did you not read my original post on this? I looked at players from the past 5 drafts and looked at career numbers vs 1st and 2nd year numbers. Yes, the projections are more predictive of career numbers.

 

[Saint Cy of JFC]

Basically, Joe Ingles and Chris Mullin are guys who have barely been able to dunk but almost never do unless they're completely alone. Maybe late-career guys like David West or Boris Diaw would pass up dunks.

David West definitely dunked.

Chris Mullin seems like a good comp. Not like I watched him, but I youtubed Chris Mullin dunk and the only thing that came up was one of the worst dunks I've ever seen.

Ingles didnt dunk a ton, but he would throw it down in transition or if he was open on drives early in his NBA career without a ton of effort. If he was in the NBA from age 20-26, he probably would have dunked more.

 

[KqWIN]

This chart is TS percentile and UnassistedFG percentile (don't ask me why the bars are all weird).

Upper Right: High Self Creation, High efficiency
Upper Left: Low Self Creation, High efficiency
Lower Right: High Self Creation, Low efficiency
Lower Left: Low Self Creation, Low efficiency

 

[Saint Cy of JFC]

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T_JXSYH-0ic&ab_channel=LockedOnNBABigBoard

 

[Bodhi]

This is what I worry about. He will think he is KD, but really he becomes Keyonte. Bad shots, ball stopper, and hero chucking.

This is a huge worry for me with him. I might get roasted for this but, as of today, I think I like Fears more than Tre for this reason.

 

[Bodhi]

I feel like @SoberasHotRod has massively stepped up his draft analysis game this year. Great posts, brother.

Random thought. Proceed.

 

[Saint Cy of JFC]

Raynaud finished the season with the 2nd most 3's by a 7'er, only behind Lauri Markkanen.

 

[kcgar]

I hear you. My problem is that self-creation and scoring are essential requirements for "the guy". Other things just need to be sufficient.

So in that sense Tre is closer to being "him".

I also see where you are coming from, however, there are not many players with Tre's archetype that have been on successful teams as one of the top players. At least I can't think of any. He seems like he will have great offensive stats but doesn't ever go anywhere winning wise

 

[Saint Cy of JFC]

After listening to the Raynaud interview, he is definitely going to rise in the draft. Interviews incredibly well. Is going to measure huge for a stretch 5. Is going to test well athletically for a huge stretch 5. I think he could go top 20.

 

[Ferguson_Mellochill]

If I had to predict how the draft plays out, I think it’ll go:

1- Flagg
2- Harper
3-5: Ace, VJ, Tre in some order
6-9: Fears, Queen, Maluach, Kon in some order

If someone else is going to break into that last group (6-10), it’s probably Essengue.

Then I think it’s Kas, CMB… and the draft goes pretty flat.

 

[NAOS_pt2]

If Kas is falling as far as some of yall think, then someone is going to get a ****ing steal

 

[SoberasHotRod]

If Kas is falling as far as some of yall think, then someone is going to get a ****ing steal

Even if he doesn't completely hit and isn't a primary on ball guy, I think he can be a very good secondary ball handler.