Bawse Dawg
Well-Known Member
No it doesn’t. It costs you a few spots in your draft position, for a chance at an all time great prospect, or two blue chippers. Easy choice for me. But doesn’t look like anyone is being convinced either way.
Its Time to Tank
- Thread starter Handlogten's Heros
- Start date
The assumption that Wemby, Scoot, and Miller are like all guaranteed all stars and 4-10 are likely all hard busts and that is how the draft is viewed… that is LOUD wrong. It’s a strong draft imo but the 4th through 8th guys have some drawbacks… but a guy like Jarace Walker I have a hard time seeing as a bust… even if he’s not a knockdown shooter… Cam may not be an all star but that guys gonna be in the league a long time… there is absolutely some differentiation between 4-12… some teams may have Amen in a tier on his own.
Okay you buy a stock option for 10k and have an opportunity to sell it for 100K… it has a 10% chance to go to 1M and a 90% chance to go to 10k or slightly less… when the 90% shot happens and you walk away with 10k will you feel the 90k loss?
I have a friend who literally had this happen… he will bring it up constantly… it was 15 years ago. He very much thinks he lost something.
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If you want to argue about it you absolutely can’t discount the draft position or the prospects after the top 3… we have very real historical evidence this spots are worth multiple firsts. There is a very real cost in this fake hypothetical. If you think the cost is worth it then great. It very well might be… I’m not mocking those that are choosing that side.
If you told me we are shutting down Lauri in 5 games I keep my chances but if we play it somewhat straight we are gonna end up 9th or 10th imo.
Yeah but u had 4th in the hand though that was the question … so u r dropping from 4th to 10th.
This isn't a great analogy.
If the 4th pick doesn't make us a title contender, then yeah I'd easily take the 10% shot at Victor. If we lose and get the 10th pick, who cares, we weren't going to be title contenders with the 4th anyways.
It’s a perfect analogy lol. If you make a million it might represent a life changing amount of money or a significant lifestyle change… making 100k may not mean you change your lifestyle but might provide a nice sense of security and you will sleep better at night… go on a nice vacation or something… but your day to day may not change a ton… you will need to stack a few more of those wins.
The difference between $100k and $10k is far greater than the difference between having a 2nd round exit as your ceiling instead of a 1st round exit.
Bawse Dawg
Well-Known Member
These money analogies just don’t do it for me. We’re talking about the fate of a basketball team I root for, not my retirement fund. I want a chance at Wemby, and I’m not too fussed about missing out on, at most, six spots in the draft in order to take that chance.
I’m not mocking anyone. Just surprised everyone would be so eager to chuck away the chance at getting to the top guys in the draft in order to have first dibs at the large group of hard to separate players that comes next. We’ve been talking about Wemby for years, no one even knows who they want at four. And yet everyone is fine giving up our one chance at this dude.
I’m not mocking anyone. Just surprised everyone would be so eager to chuck away the chance at getting to the top guys in the draft in order to have first dibs at the large group of hard to separate players that comes next. We’ve been talking about Wemby for years, no one even knows who they want at four. And yet everyone is fine giving up our one chance at this dude.
What? You're making assumptions that are wild. This one pick does not determine the future ceiling of the team by itself... even if we land Wemby.