Jazz 2017/18 Playoff Bus! All Aboard!

[JazzMan4Life]

Seems like a damn long time ago.

Meant to post this once we clinched, shout out to those of us who stayed on the bus all season. Toot toot

 

[colton]

It's stunning to me that there are still 4 different possible 3-6 matchups with the Jazz at the 3 seed.

 

[colton]

Similarly, if we pretend it's random chance, then these are the percentage chances for the various matchups (rounding to one decimal place):

Utah as 3 seed
Utah - Den 15.6% (5/32)
Utah - Min 6.3% (2/32)
Utah - OKC 9.4% (3/32)
Utah - SAS 6.3% (2/32)

Utah as 4 seed
Utah - NO 6.3% (2/32)
Utah - SAS 6.3% (2/32)

Utah as 5 seed
Utah - OKC 25% (8/32)

Utah as 6 seed
Utah - Por 15.6% (5/32)

Utah as 7 seed
Utah - GSW 9.4% (3/32)

OKC would be most likely opponent with 34.4% (11/32).
Then Por and Den both at 15.6% (5/32)
Then SAS at 12.5% (4/32)
Then GSW at 9.4% (3/32)
Then Min and NO both at 6.3% (2/32)

Crazy, crazy playoff race.

If someone wants to find or give probabilities for each game that are more accurate than just 50-50, I can add that into my calculations really easily. Would make better/more interesting numbers than what I've presented here.

 

[FarrakhanJazzFan]

Memphis is just not going to beat OKC, it's simply not worth considering.

There is a single plausible scenario where the Jazz end up #7 -- lose to GS and Portland, and Minnesota and San Antonio both win. Every other scenario where the Jazz lose twice has them playing Portland. If we win tonight, we have at least the fifth seed and we're playing OKC no matter what.

My personal preference is home court as the #3, obviously. Getting a Game 7 at home is an enormous advantage. And my favorite plausible scenario is the Jazz win out along with Minnesota and San Antonio. I don't feel Denver stands a chance against GSW, but a healthy Minnesota team does.

 

[infection]

Similarly, if we pretend it's random chance, then these are the percentage chances for the various matchups (rounding to one decimal place):

Utah as 3 seed
Utah - Den 15.6% (5/32)
Utah - Min 6.3% (2/32)
Utah - OKC 9.4% (3/32)
Utah - SAS 6.3% (2/32)

Utah as 4 seed
Utah - NO 6.3% (2/32)
Utah - SAS 6.3% (2/32)

Utah as 5 seed
Utah - OKC 25% (8/32)

Utah as 6 seed
Utah - Por 15.6% (5/32)

Utah as 7 seed
Utah - GSW 9.4% (3/32)

OKC would be most likely opponent with 34.4% (11/32).
Then Por and Den both at 15.6% (5/32)
Then SAS at 12.5% (4/32)
Then GSW at 9.4% (3/32)
Then Min and NO both at 6.3% (2/32)

Crazy, crazy playoff race.

So everyone saying we’re almost locked with OKC but if we win out it looks pretty good not facing them, no?

 

[Spinoza]

Incorrect. What you are saying is true only if OKC beats Memphis.

Yea, that's the assumption I've been making.

 

[Gameface]

So it's safe to say the playoff seeding from 3-9 in the west is the tightest it has ever been with 1-2 games remaining in the season?

 

[yamers]

brewer has also been pretty damn solid for the thunder.

Robinson going down for them was a huge hit for their defense, but brewer has stepped up big time.

 

[FalseFlagg K]

brewer has also been pretty damn solid for the thunder.

Robinson going down for them was a huge hit for their defense, but brewer has stepped up big time.

who is this Robinson you speak of ?

 

[LifeOnaPlate]

I don't see QS overthinking this. Beat GS, beat Portland. 3rd seed meets 6th seed. Beat them.

Yup. If we're down 15 or something going into the 4th I wonder if he rests guys to prep for tomorrow, or if he plows ahead, though.

 

[sgjazzfan]

The Blunder don't worry me. Rather face GSW than the Rockets in the 2nd round.

If said scenario happens, Jazz would be the 5 seed facing OKC on the road, then Houston. Absolute worst case scenario imo.

 

[yamers]

who is this Robinson you speak of ?

the guy who locked mitchell down in the second meeting the jazz had this season. He went down with a injury but brewer has stepped up in his absence, but I still don't think brewer is as good of a defender as robinson