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Jazz Playoff Watch

theNBAnerd said:
first problem with your logic: you are assuming we won't get the GSW pick. i still think we will.

second problem with your logic: you're assuming that a 14th pick in the draft (marcus morris, patrick patterson, earl clark, anthony randolph, al thornton, ronnie brewer, rashad mccants, kris humphries, etc.) is going to be such a difference-maker that it's worth more than the invaluable playoff experience we'd be giving favors, hayward, burks, etc.

the 14th pick is not a huge asset. look at that list. not a single impact player on that list. thornton was good for a minute but now is out of the league. patterson is in and out of houston's lineup. brewer is a role player. it took humphries 7-8 years to become the 4th best player on a lottery team.

and you want that over the playoffs -- THAT's mind-boggling.
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+1
 
Damn, I really want that sixth seed. I want the matchup with the Lakers because I think we can beat them.
 
Playoff watch? For who? the Suns? Nugheads? Cuz we ain't goin to the playoffs folks. And even if we did, would we really want to see 4 blowouts like today? ugh.
 
GlassEater said:
The schedule down the stretch is pretty favorable. I could see the Jazz going 6-3 (losses at Memphis and Houston and perhaps tomorrow vs. SA).
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On the one hand: I originally had them at 4-5, but with losses to Dallas and Portland that now seem like they could flip because the Mavs and Blazers are not playing as well as they once were. Maybe 6-3 is possible.

On the other hand: The Jazz are also not playing as well (3-6 in their last 9), so maybe they aren't automatically going to win the final three at home, or maybe they won't flip both games I originally saw them losing.
 
udflyer said:
David Locke thinks 5-4 and maybe we are in, 6-3 definitely.
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I'm not quite sure about 5-4. That puts the Jazz at 34 wins, so Denver only has to go 5-5 to beat that (Jazz own tiebreaker based on head-to-head). I know they're just under .500 recently, but 5-5 is within reason. Dallas only has to go 3-6 to tie (Dallas owns the tiebreaker). Not unreasonable. Even if the Jazz go 6-3, Denver could go 6-4 and Dallas 4-5 and the Jazz are still on the outside looking in.

Now that I look at the numbers and schedules, I can't see the Jazz catching the Mavs unless they completely fall apart. But as long as they win their 3 home games (Sac, Hou and GS), they probably only need to win 1 out of 6 road games to edge the Jazz. Denver and the 8th seed is the best chance. I think it will take 35 wins (6-3) to get there, and even that isn't a sure thing.
 
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