Lottery Standings

[Dr. Jones]

wow, that was nerdy.

That was awesome!!!! Repd again.

 

[Dr. Jones]

That was awesome!!!! Repd again.

Edit: Must spread .. I'll hit ya up soon.

 

[margodydek]

Nerd, I thoroughly enjoyed reading that

 

[Dr. Jones]

Nerd, I just totally plagiarized that post and emailed it to my fellow Jazzfanz here in St. George. They'll know I stole it, though .. lol.

 

[northeast]

nerd, two gross errors in the first paragraph alone, so I'm not bothering with the rest of it, and yet you managed to come out with a number in the middle of the range I gave hours ago that I ballparked in 2 minutes, so congratulations on that.

 

[theNBAnerd]

nerd, two gross errors in the first paragraph alone, so I'm not bothering with the rest of it, and yet you managed to come out with a number in the middle of the range I gave hours ago that I ballparked in 2 minutes, so congratulations on that.

pray tell...

 

[northeast]

1/3
90%

 

[theNBAnerd]

1/3
90%

not an error... those were two separate sets of odds that you have to multiply together:

* .333 chance that the warriors beat SA to clinch 8th worst
* once they do that, there's a 90% chance that the ping pong balls keep them 8th or later

 

[northeast]

I think your inputs are off, I'm not bothering to check everything after that.

 

[northeast]

but thanks for validating the estimates I gave earlier.

What are the odds you give after the Spurs win the last game?
I estimated 60% Jazz get the pick...rounding off.
Somebody else said 57%

 

[Dr. Jones]

but thanks for validating the estimates I gave earlier.

What are the odds you give after the Spurs win the last game?
I estimated 60% Jazz get the pick...
Somebody else said 57%

I'm not choosing sides in this, but I do find it strange that you're asking Nerds opinion just after telling him his prior post was not worth reading.

 

[northeast]

I disagree with his inputs...
His calculations might be fine for all I know.

After the games are played, the inputs should be pretty well established.