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Game Thread Mar 28, 2025 07:00PM MT: Utah Jazz @ Denver Nuggets

Added to Calendar: 03-28-25

Cody had the second best +- on the Jazz. Victory all the way around. Hardy has a few days to get ready for the Hornets. That is a must lose game. Hardy needs to pull out the contusions and bone bruises. Based on tonight and recently I have concluded that KJ Martin and Springer aren't future puzzle pieces.
 
homeytennis said:
Hardy has a few days to get ready for the Hornets. That is a must lose game. Hardy needs to pull out the contusions and bone bruises.
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I know it's a schtick, but curious if you really have someone in mind that the upcoming game will make a difference for.
 
idiot said:
I know it's a schtick, but curious if you really have someone in mind that the upcoming game will make a difference for.
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Every loss help the probability on the lottery balls. There is no guarantee if the Jazz lose out that they will get the No 1 pick. I'm all in for the Flagg.
 
homeytennis said:
Every loss help the probability on the lottery balls. There is no guarantee if the Jazz lose out that they will get the No 1 pick. I'm all in for the Flagg.
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As much as I want them to get Flagg, the worst seed never seems gets #1. Jazz have a 47% chance of getting the 5th seed with the worst record.

Dallas will probably get it.
 
TheGoldStandard said:
As much as I want them to get Flagg, the worst seed never seems gets #1. Jazz have a 47% chance of getting the 5th seed with the worst record.

Dallas will probably get it.
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Yeah, they really, really tried to devalue the worst record for the draft- everyone is ‘against the field’ so the only really valuable part is raising the floor order your pick.
 
TheGoldStandard said:
As much as I want them to get Flagg, the worst seed never seems gets #1. Jazz have a 47% chance of getting the 5th seed with the worst record.

Dallas will probably get it.
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Losses are still more valuable than wins right now. That is the only point that really matters.
 
I have worked in data science / ML for the last ten years where I've had to try and explain statistics to business leaders who prefer their "gut", but it still amazes me how unwilling people are to understand probabilities.

Yeah 14% isn't great, but the whole "the worst record never gets it" as a reason not to maximize chances is silly. Don't mean to be a dick, I get where people are coming from, but still
 
Jaanipoeg said:
I have worked in data science / ML for the last ten years where I've had to try and explain statistics to business leaders who prefer their "gut", but it still amazes me how unwilling people are to understand probabilities.

Yeah 14% isn't great, but the whole "the worst record never gets it" as a reason not to maximize chances is silly. Don't mean to be a dick, I get where people are coming from, but still
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I have the exact same thoughts. There's a reason why our field needs to exist in the first place. Humans don't do well with probability and randomness on their own.
 
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