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Game Thread NBA Draft Lottery - May 12, 2025

Added to Calendar: 05-12-25

Agreed mostly. The only thing I'd nitpick is that "the decision to blow everything up in the first place should be reconsidered." I don't believe it takes hindsight to realize this now and if we weren't heavily stirred by emotion it was patently visible then.

Sure….What I meant to communicate is that that the decision to tank vs half tank isn’t the one which should be reconsidered. Even with this brutal result, I am 100% sure I’m happier now than if we half and half tank (if you don’t consider the fact that dumb luck would have resulted in us getting a top 2 pick). The real decision was made when we dumped Gobert and Mitchell. Once that decision was made, we now exist in a different world where this 14% chance is the best hope we have and this should have been considered when we dumped Mitchell/Gobert.

What I’m saying is that the only thing to be reconsidered is dumping Mitchell/Gobert. The decision to tank after they had already been traded is a no brainer. But we should not have looked at the tanking route as so roses when we had those two and it did not take hindsight to recognize that. All it took was the acknowledgment of simple probability to know that this was the most likely outcome.
 
I know I know, I’m probably missing some nuance here and Americans love to make things more dramatic than we need to be because our society is just so ridiculous bored but what would be wrong with doing away with the lottery and just basing the draft on the standings? That way, the worst teams get the help they need and the incentive for a borderline playoff team to tank is taken away? Dallas and SA were already decent teams. Seems like the lottery incentivizes teams like them to tank. It almost makes it so unless you’re a top seeded team, you might consider tanking just to see if you can stock up on top talent.
 
Sure….What I meant to communicate is that that the decision to tank vs half tank isn’t the one which should be reconsidered. Even with this brutal result, I am 100% sure I’m happier now than if we half and half tank (if you don’t consider the fact that dumb luck would have resulted in us getting a top 2 pick). The real decision was made when we dumped Gobert and Mitchell. Once that decision was made, we now exist in a different world where this 14% chance is the best hope we have and this should have been considered when we dumped Mitchell/Gobert.

What I’m saying is that the only thing to be reconsidered is dumping Mitchell/Gobert. The decision to tank after they had already been traded is a no brainer. But we should not have looked at the tanking route as so roses when we had those two and it did not take hindsight to recognize that. All it took was the acknowledgment of simple probability to know that this was the most likely outcome.
That’s the decision I was referring to, not the decision to tank. The decision to tank was the best way we could play our hand. Trading away both guys wasn’t necessarily the best way we could have played that hand. That’s the part that I don’t think needs “revisiting” with the benefit of hindsight. It was clear with a modicum of foresight.
 
That’s the decision I was referring to, not the decision to tank. The decision to tank was the best way we could play our hand. Trading away both guys wasn’t necessarily the best way we could have played that hand. That’s the part that I don’t think needs “revisiting” with the benefit of hindsight. It was clear with a modicum of foresight.

I guess what I’m saying is that I don’t question the decision to tank AFTER we had already traded Rudy/Don. The only thing I’m really thinking is “too late”. But this reality that we’re feeling right now should have been considered before trading Rudy/Don. No hindsight required to look at percentages we already knew.
 
But this reality that we’re feeling right now should have been considered before trading Rudy/Don. No hindsight required to look at percentages we already knew.
Absolutely. That’s why I say emotion (the way the previous three years of postseasons had gone) clouded the judgement on being able to adequately appraise that.
 
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