Tank move: Andrew Bynum

[One Brow]

Essentially, what we're saying is that past coin flips will influence the outcome of our next coin flip.

Could you go with an analogy that isn't flatly wrong?

I agree that higher draft picks are more valuable, all other things being equal. I'm unconvinced that, for example, trading Williams for nothing leaves all other things equal.

 

[NUMBERICA]

Could you go with an analogy that isn't flatly wrong?

I agree that higher draft picks are more valuable, all other things being equal. I'm unconvinced that, for example, trading Williams for nothing leaves all other things equal.

That's the idea. To make the team lose more games. Outside of that, what other things would NOT be equal moving forward? The Jazz could re-sign Williams whether he's here at the end of the year or not.

 

[JimLes]

Essentially, what we're saying is that past coin flips will influence the outcome of our next coin flip.

So, since every free throw is an independent variable and prior free throws do not influence the outcome, you wouldn't pick Dirk over DeAndre Jordan to shoot a FT to win you money at half time?

 

[infection]

Could you go with an analogy that isn't flatly wrong?

I agree that higher draft picks are more valuable, all other things being equal. I'm unconvinced that, for example, trading Williams for nothing leaves all other things equal.

The analogy is flatly wrong. That's exactly my point. But Williams is being traded for the right to swap picks. Not for nothing. Oh, he's also being traded to lose more games, as a bonus byproduct.

 

[NUMBERICA]

So, since every free throw is an independent variable and prior free throws do not influence the outcome, you wouldn't pick Dirk over DeAndre Jordan to shoot a FT to win you money at half time?

That's more of a question of skill than luck.

Wait, what is your point exactly?

 

[infection]

So, since every free throw is an independent variable and prior free throws do not influence the outcome, you wouldn't pick Dirk over DeAndre Jordan to shoot a FT to win you money at half time?

It's about context. If your team has made 2 out of the last 10 FTs with Biedrins and Jordan shooting, does that mean you should avoid trying to get Dirk to the line because your other two stiffs sucked?

In other words, just because Cleveland blew it with Anthony, would we be guilty by association?

 

[JimLes]

That's more of a question of skill than luck.

And drafting is what? Throwing darts and pictures of college players?

 

[JimLes]

In other words, just because Cleveland blew it with Anthony, would we be guilty by association?

No, it just shows that a number one pick isn't a "sure thing."

 

[infection]

No, it just shows that a number one pick isn't a "sure thing."

Very true. Signing a superstar and/or trading for a superstar is also not just an unsure thing, but it's not even on the table. Or at the buffet.

 

[Grandpa Jazz]

Do you mean this guy:

No, if i typed Brown then it's just that a typo. Obviously meant Elton Brand. Oops. And infection didn't catch it? He could of used that as a powerful argument.

 

[Grandpa Jazz]

Of course we could screw the pooch on the first pick. The point I'm arguing is that with the first choice then you can choose whoever you want without someone else selecting them first. Paul Pierce went 10th. That doesn't mean having the 10th pick is more likely to bring you a Paul Pierce than the 7th pick. In fact, the number 1 pick is more likely to land you a Paul Pierce than the #10 pick.

People keep seeming to think that draft position is the independent variable with all these guys that were either busts or didn't lead their team to a championship.

Essentially, what we're saying is that past coin flips will influence the outcome of our next coin flip.

Damn, you were doing great until you got to the last two sentences.

 

[infection]

Damn, you were doing great until you got to the last two sentences.

How so? I thought my last two sentences were my strongest, tbh.