Minny will end up trading Kat as soon as this year. Part of how good they will be in the future depends on the return there. I think they can still be play-in game/late lotto bad in some of those years and the recipe is really just:
- The return on KAT isn't great
- Rudy slows down or ages... this is a 2027/29 thing. An injury could happen and cause it sooner, but not gonna wish that on anyone.
- Ant isn't able to carry Jaden, old Rudy, Naz?, and whatever they get for KAT to a top 6 record.
- Ant gets frustrated and wants to go to a different market... could be for a variety of reasons but some serious cost cutting will occur over the next few years.
- Important role players like Kyle Anderson, Mike Conley, aren't replaced with good enough parts.
- Ant could also sustain some injuries.
Like Minny could have a year like Dallas had last year. Overall I'm bullish on Ant and think the picks are not likely going to be lotto, especially in 2025... but they could still be lotto adjacent.
Overall I actually think the Cavs picks have more of a chance of being great. Mobley looks good but he may not have the big leaps most assumed he would. Don won't be there long term... he just won't. Garland is awesome but has a hard time staying on the court and isn't going to carry a team by himself. Allen has hit his ceiling imo.