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Utah Jazz Select Ace Bailey, Pick 5

I don't think Locke's assessment today of Ace is unfair, but it does demonstrate our flawed understanding of potential. Potential is way more than just physical attributes.
 
Looks like the link doesn’t work. What was the image?
I'm glad you asked because it's definitely worth the explanation. Some NBA influencer on Instagram talking about how before the draft ,Charlotte and Washington had a deal in place to trade the 4th and 6th picks. Danny apparently intel'd that out and called Peterson, the Charlotte GM, and said that Kon wasn't originally as high on their list, but he was going to be forced to take him at 5 if a trade went through, possibly simply out of spite.

And we all know what happened haha. Legend.
 
Anyone else think Ace has changed his 3pt shot?

Looking back at his highlights he seems to have lowered his set point and made his shot more one motiony .
 
With nothing going on I went back to watching some film on Ace. Watched this full game tape against Seton Hall. It was a really good game for him. Still had too many "tough shots" which he did make, but he actually attacked the hoop and had physical moments on offense. His on ball defense was really good, great lateral quickness and kept everything in front of him. Off ball defense was more a mixed bag. Some good rotations, but also some moments where he was sleeping a bit.


View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0_uTxx-kzc4
 
Just because things are so slow, we can add this Andy Larsen article about Ace, etc. (I don't think anything here is particularly earth-shattering):


Chatgpt summary:
  • Jazz rookie Ace Bailey needs to adapt to the NBA by improving his strength, adjusting his game, and managing the league's demanding schedule.
  • Coach Will Hardy emphasized:
    • Offensively: Bailey must learn to play without the ball, cut effectively, and use off-ball screens.
    • Defensively: He must rely on his length while building physical strength.
  • Bailey was limited in summer league play due to a hip flexor injury, participating in only two games.
  • A key focus for Bailey is developing a consistent routine to handle the NBA’s volume of practices, games, and appearances.
  • Jazz young players (rookies, sophomores, third-years) have been training in Salt Lake City throughout the summer and will continue until early September.
  • Players will take a short Labor Day break, then resume training in open gym sessions before training camp starts September 29.
  • Jazz president Austin Ainge stated the team will not rest healthy players for draft positioning like last season.
  • Coach Hardy responded to this shift with enthusiasm, saying he’s “very, very” excited to coach without such limitations.
  • Hardy made these comments at the Utah Coaches Collective Clinic, which hosted about 300 Utah youth basketball coaches.
  • The clinic aimed to support the local basketball community, offering coaching education on shooting, defense, and conditioning.
 
Chatgpt summary:

  • Jazz president Austin Ainge stated the team will not rest healthy players for draft positioning like last season.
Everybody knows that he is lying, right?! Ainge is just hoping that trading away Collins, Sexton and Clarkson will make the Jazz so bad that there would be no need for any shenanigans. But if the Jazz unexpectedly start winning games...
 
Everybody knows that he is lying, right?! Ainge is just hoping that trading away Collins, Sexton and Clarkson will make the Jazz so bad that there would be no need for any shenanigans. But if the Jazz unexpectedly start winning games...
Its naive to assume he can say whatever and just do the opposite without consequences. Media will hold him acvountable for his words especially since he is a first time POBO who is also a nepo baby.

He can still do standard stuff like shut down Lauri post ASB if we are eliminated.. but he has to thread the needle on any resting shenanigans after making those comments.

Being Dannys son puts him more under the microscope, not less.
 
With nothing going on I went back to watching some film on Ace. Watched this full game tape against Seton Hall. It was a really good game for him. Still had too many "tough shots" which he did make, but he actually attacked the hoop and had physical moments on offense. His on ball defense was really good, great lateral quickness and kept everything in front of him. Off ball defense was more a mixed bag. Some good rotations, but also some moments where he was sleeping a bit.


View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0_uTxx-kzc4

as i've mentioned, i watched all but two or three rutgers games during the season, and that's about how i'd describe Bailey's defense in general. some games a little better or worse than others, but overall, pretty damn elite on ball defense consistently.

off ball, was good, even great at times, but would get lost or caught sleeping at times as well. off ball was much more inconsistent as opposed to on the ball where he was consistently very good.
 
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Its naive to assume he can say whatever and just do the opposite without consequences. Media will hold him acvountable for his words especially since he is a first time POBO who is also a nepo baby.

He can still do standard stuff like shut down Lauri post ASB if we are eliminated.. but he has to thread the needle on any resting shenanigans after making those comments.

Being Dannys son puts him more under the microscope, not less.
Please we talking about Utah media. Lol
 
I've mentioned this before, but even when watching prospects on defense closely it's hard to know how much to take way from it. Just playing a little devil's advocate, but the talent level/coaching level is so low at the NCAA level that pretty much all of these guys are "lockdown" at the college level to some extent. And of course, I think the eye test favors things that are most conspicuous, but not necessarily the most important to overall defensive value. There's honestly not a huge difference in good/bad defenders in terms of their 1v1 on ball defense. I think Ace is a better defensive prospect than the two guys drafted around him, for example, but the film will show Kon and Tre locking down most guys at the NCAA level as well.

People are going to hate this, but I think numbers do a relatively good job of the skillsets/attributes needed to succeed at the NBA level. Defense in the NBA level is very much about what goes on between the ears and those decisions rarely present themselves at the college level. The NBA is a 5v5 game, whereas as college is more like a 3v5 game played in a phone booth lol. But the numbers can show who can transition to the next level. The event creation (stupid name I know) numbers are very meaningful indicators IMO. And Ace is also pretty good on paper as a defender which is a stronger reflection of his potential than staying in front of Prince Aligbe.

Ace will do a lot of different things on both ends, but if you can really teach him to be a secondary backline defender that would be awesome. If not, I think he will be a fine, switchable on ball defender.
 
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