Your bold prediction for the season (2016-2017)
- Thread starter Thee Idiotic Minivan K
- Start date
Boris Diaw averages more minutes than Lyles pre all-star break, but Lyles overtakes him after.
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fishonjazz
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Good post. I had thought haywards point per game would go down but you make a good case for that not happening.
Bold indeed
I would be shocked if you were right about this one.
Cappy_Smurf
Well-Known Member
Cy finally gets laid this year in like, forever, but still posts just as much as ever on JF.
Nope
Hill and Johnson's usage will be higher than Ingles/ Neto/ Johnson/ Mack's
Lyle's usage will be higher than Booker's
Usage is zero sum, Hayward's will fall from 25.7 to 23.5-24.5. His minutes will drop from 36.2 to 34-35. His efficiency will go up. His assists will go up. He'll score 18-20.
Mack took more shots per minute with the Jazz last year than Hill did with the Pacers.
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The idea that we brought these guys in to take away shots from Hayward is absurd.
They will not affect his usage. The added depth may decrease his minutes, but that's it.
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They will not affect his usage. The added depth may decrease his minutes, but that's it.
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Stifle Tower
Punch Bowl Re-Filler
Might be a little of both, IMO. Spurs have had seasons when no one averaged >30 mins. I could see Derrick and Gordon getting mins chopped, especially if subs are maintaining leads deep into the 4th (and Quin mentioned that in his interview).
Also, if Utah is creating better shot opportunities, they may not need to lead the league in passes and have Gordon cover miles per game. Of course, better shooters should mean more points per game. Hopefully Utah will get out and run and create more possessions. So that could offset others taking more shots.
Bold predictions :
Exum shows right away that he has the highest ceiling of any Jazz player and the fanz expectation rises
Hayward though is the man this year ..... he becomes a 20/5/5 and all star this year
Favors hangs around the 18/8 range shooting 55%,steady and reliable
Hood does the slow climb upwards ,going from 14 ppg to 17.5 ppg with a better shooting percentage
Gobert though his stats stay around 12/12 becomes more dynamic with the return of Exum ,slam dunks hitting the highlite reels from dimes from Exum
Burks stays and resumes as a super sub with Lyles on the 2nd unit,both recording staedy offensive numbers game after game
Lyles oozing out offensive potential with steady minutes and being 1st big on the floor for Gobert or Favors
George Hill comes in and melts right into the defense to be a factor but his offense doesn't match as previous not because he can't but because the younger players are balling
Joe Johnson and Boris Diaw ,great additions and they have their moments but the youth and athleticism of the core 8 gets the minutes and Johnson and Diaw add where they can when playing
Ingles I think will still get minutes as his 3 pt shooting and passing adds glue to the young players
Exum shows right away that he has the highest ceiling of any Jazz player and the fanz expectation rises
Hayward though is the man this year ..... he becomes a 20/5/5 and all star this year
Favors hangs around the 18/8 range shooting 55%,steady and reliable
Hood does the slow climb upwards ,going from 14 ppg to 17.5 ppg with a better shooting percentage
Gobert though his stats stay around 12/12 becomes more dynamic with the return of Exum ,slam dunks hitting the highlite reels from dimes from Exum
Burks stays and resumes as a super sub with Lyles on the 2nd unit,both recording staedy offensive numbers game after game
Lyles oozing out offensive potential with steady minutes and being 1st big on the floor for Gobert or Favors
George Hill comes in and melts right into the defense to be a factor but his offense doesn't match as previous not because he can't but because the younger players are balling
Joe Johnson and Boris Diaw ,great additions and they have their moments but the youth and athleticism of the core 8 gets the minutes and Johnson and Diaw add where they can when playing
Ingles I think will still get minutes as his 3 pt shooting and passing adds glue to the young players
Stifle Tower
Punch Bowl Re-Filler
The only thing capable of stopping the Jazz' starters will be the Jazz' 2nd unit.
Douchebag K
Well-Known Member
Exum and Hill's play results in Hood dropping back to the bench. Burks gets lost in the shuffle and spend the season trying to find the bits and pieces of his body that have broken off
Douchebag K
Well-Known Member
and therefore top 5 in the league ! 3-4 seed in the West
Stifle Tower
Punch Bowl Re-Filler
This ain't going to be your father's Jazz. All those 3's are going to make Jerry turn over in his grave. Sloan really hated the long ball.
Rgiss
Well-Known Member
I'll take it further: top half of the league in pace
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You are assuming that Hill next to Monta Ellis and Paul George will have the same usage as with his Jazz cohorts.
You also did not mention the low usage players from the comparison and cherry picked Mack.
Jazz coaches and management have spoken about relieving offensive burden from Hayward and hinted that he was worn out by year end.
Why do you think it is absurd that his usage will go down when he has better tools around him? Seems pretty common sense. Jordan's usage dropped from 39% to 35% when they added Pippen.