Jimmy has cuddled up to Embiid and I don't trust Brand. The tobias trade was a solid overpay and unless they are willing to go to five years I think he bounces. I think he sees how he will be marginalized and that Simmons, Embiid, Jimmy (if he stays) all need the ball to be effective. Jimmy has been better in the playoffs and I think they will try to keep him... he also knows he can get his money then force a trade later cuz that's how he rolls. they might keep them both then move Simmons... he and Embiid don't fit and Ben could land them more in a trade.
I think it is 40% Tobias stays... 60% he bounces... I'd say we have like a 15-20% chance at landing him if we throw out the max. Brooklyn will be after him, NY if they miss on their big targets, Lakers, Dallas, maybe Sacramento if Barnes opts out and tries to leave... I think Brooklyn might have the best chances to land him.
I think we can make a really appealing case for role that magnifies his skills, culture of success and development, fit, and loyalty... dude has been traded like 4 times now... probably would like to unpack his suitcase with some confidence.
