I'm very optimistic about the Clips picks. Kawhi got his deal... then got injured again. He is just broken. PG will bail unless they max him out. Harden likely stays but he is one of the scariest dudes to pay money imo. Next year the west is gonna be most likely even more competitive. A 20 game absence from 1 or 2 of those guys or if one bails and I think they could quickly fade into the lotto. Their top 7 guys were really healthy this year (compared to where they normally are). Westbrook also sounded like he will look elsewhere and he was a cheap and valuable player for them during the regular season.
I think they most likely end up around the play in territory and will need to be healthy at the right time to avoid the lotto. I will take that bet.
That said I like the Houston trade as I like Green, Smith Jr, Whitmore more than Giddey (I think they keep Cason off the table) and I would rather have #3 and the Brooklyn 2026 pick more than the Clips picks (and the protected ones).
I guess it’s all relative. It’s definitely better than a protected pick or some distant pick from a team that is almost certain to be good. I guess I just mean I’m not optimistic about a LAC collapse. Ballmer has an unlimited checkbook (meaning they’ll resign their guys) and Ty Lue has proven to be very good with a skeleton crew. I don’t think the scenario you’re saying is that unrealistic though.
In any case, I think Rockets have the better assets….OKC probably has more incentive to make a deal given that they are much closer and could R+E Lauri I believe.