Hollinger Playoff Odds

[Qman]

https://espn.go.com/nba/hollinger/playoffodds

Projected record of 38-28 and 6th seed going to the Dallas in the 1st round.

Of course spots 6-11 in the West are all within a couple of games.

The calcuation doesn't know about player injuries so the Clipper are probably under valued because of the time Chris Paul has missed.

Still interesting to see us projected in the Playoffs.

 

[Harambe]

I like the part where if the playoffs started today, the Lakers would be out.

 

[Stoked]

He mentions an interesting scenario in the west. I wonder what that could be and if it has to do with the NW Division kicking butt and not even slowing down enough to take names.

 

[Ron Mexico]

I like that 10 teams have a better than 60% chance of making the playoffs

 

[Darkwing Duck]

Well, the Jazz would be the 7 seed since the Lakers would be bumped up to the 4 seed by virtue of winning their division. That would be a date with the Nuggets.

 

[sirkickyass]

I like that 10 teams have a better than 60% chance of making the playoffs

He addressed that in an article today.

In the West, conversely, it's a total muddle. With 10 playoff-caliber teams vying for the bottom six spots and a pesky Minnesota squad still hanging around on the fringes, we have virtually no certainty about anything. Ten teams show up as having a better than 60 percent chance of making the postseason, which seems impossible but mathematically is actually perfectly plausible; in simplistic terms, nine teams are divvying up the final seven spots nearly equally, leaving 7/9 of a playoff share for each.

Although you're right that superficially it looks ridiculous.

 

[Harambe]

Well, the Jazz would be the 7 seed since the Lakers would be bumped up to the 4 seed by virtue of winning their division. That would be a date with the Nuggets.

Clippers aren't in the Pacific division?

 

[Darkwing Duck]

Clippers aren't in the Pacific division?

Clippers are projected as the tenth team. Did you actually look at the link?

 

[Sneakers]

We have 23 home games left, 28 road... most in the league. Ouch.

 

[Darkwing Duck]

We have 23 home games left, 28 road... most in the league. Ouch.

So the Clippers don't play 33 road games? They've only played 4 road games.

 

[kabenac]

So we'd need to go 28-23 the rest of the season for this to happen. Awesomeness.

 

[Harambe]

Clippers are projected as the tenth team. Did you actually look at the link?

I was going off of if the playoffs started today, as per my original post.

 

[Darkwing Duck]

I was going off of if the playoffs started today, as per my original post.

So you think my original post was in reference to you, and not to what the actual thread was about and every other poster is discussing?

 

[bordelais7]

I like how one of the simulations has Sacramento losing 48 straight games. Go Kings!

 

[NCJazz]

Think in the end we will be battling for the 8th seed with Memphis and Houston.

 

[NCJazz]

I like how one of the simulations has Sacramento losing 48 straight games. Go Kings!

Jimmer must be injured in this scenario.

 

[Beantown]

So you're saying there's a chance.....

 

[Grandpa Jazz]

th

e Clipper are probably under valued because of the time Chris Paul has missed.

I don't believe the Clips have been hurt by Paul sitting out. With the two back ups they have and the level they have played at it may have just minimized the confusion and trauma of sitting two guys who everyone can see belongs on the court.

 

[Grandpa Jazz]

Just finished what for me was an exhaustive statistical analysis of all the contenders in the west. I came up with the Jazz finishing in the 5 slot. This is IF the Jazz can refrain from going in the toilet on the road, we all know that will be the litmus test for these Jazz. What may have been missed is the Clips have actually played one less road game than the Jazz. They also have a lot to prove. They are not a good rebounding team with little depth ( Lakers are holding together only because of their board game and have even less depth). Both teams will ultimately fail in my opinion. Best case scenario would be the #3 playoff position, i don't see any way they fall below #9 in the west.
One more conclusion i reached is the MVP should have the name "Durant" on it. Only Durant downside is he and Westbrook account for almost half of Ok. Citys turnovers which is a large number.
Another (conclusion) is the Lakers are really hurting. The only thing they do well is rebound. They have Kobe" and two sidekicks and the rest is a d-league team.

 

[zbone]

Although you're right that superficially it looks ridiculous.

It looks totally alright. You have 8 guaranteed spots hence you have 800% to distribute among all contenders.